TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0d5d…31b9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderibacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.85
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreevabacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$790
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Chloe Paquet vs Xinyu Wangbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$455.99
BMW Open: Marin Cilic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.23
Barcelona Open: Martin Landaluce vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Barcelona Open: Jaume Munar vs Rafael Jodarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.72
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$340
Barcelona Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jack Draperbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$30.45
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,858Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,858.33
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruudbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+71%+$450.24
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marin Cilicbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$758Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$294.62
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,224Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$476
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+47.5%+$209.61
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.1
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$69.6
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$1,008.35
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11.43
All 18 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,749.61
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.83
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$39.17
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,795Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$777.08
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,899Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$1,138.21
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+102%+$552.35
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.57
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.35
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,063Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,063.49
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+59%+$55.21
Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.49
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.77
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$750.2
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.56
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.31
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$57.88
All 16 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.18
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+40%+$100
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 23?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$80.84
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$90.36
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.41
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.48
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.55
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$18.55
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,350-$4,475 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.63
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,475-$4,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$65.7
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$87.35
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+43.7%+$126.85
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,725-$4,850 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+284.7%+$275.88
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+74.2%+$42.45
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$947Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+51.4%+$486.86
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.8
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.1
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$231.99
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$37.2
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.99
Nets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$24
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$156
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$328
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.44
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$210
Bucks vs. Pistonsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
All 13 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78%+$91.54
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.43
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.24
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.06
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64.89
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$891Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$891.19
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,353Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+269.1%+$3,641.62
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$328.37
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+41.8%+$170.08
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-65.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.56
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+37.9%+$164.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$28.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.