Token Launches · resolved market
Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07d8173b349b8c41fe2813590fcfec1f2f31446644aa15216601b93cdd9f2fb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb266…ccbdbacked Yes | 1c | 10,300$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…6c7bbacked Yes | 0c | 9,030$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…694dbacked No | 21c | 5,550$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,363.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +175.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 4,247$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 10c | 3,933$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.96 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked Yes | 1c | 2,089$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.24per pick | 28cpaid | -93.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bb…fce3backed Yes | 1c | 2,017$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 31c | 2,000$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.31 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…afe9backed Yes | 74c | 1,896$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…c715backed No | 34c | 1,877$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.32 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e78…f3d6backed No | 18c | 1,719$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +453.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…ab93backed Yes | 80c | 1,561$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0822…84e5backed No | 3c | 1,100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.5 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +206.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x33ef…c498backed Yes | 62c | 1,019$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.56 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 10c | 1,004$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.73 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed No | 48c | 933.88$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.88 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed No | 72c | 697.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.77 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…968ebacked Yes | 42c | 666.29$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.82 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd509…d6b7backed Yes | 67c | 600$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…0a7bbacked No | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x894d…6916backed Yes | 73c | 599.99$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed No | 14c | 555$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.3 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fda…3fd7backed Yes | 64c | 544.16$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.91 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 39c | 493.66$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.4 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4a79backed Yes | 65c | 486.12$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.98 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb674…0184backed Yes | 68c | 437.59$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.19 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed No | 69c | 436.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.47 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +260.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 9c | 422.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked Yes | 77c | 414.17$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…116fbacked Yes | 74c | 406.91$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.75 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked No | 11c | 399.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.68 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked No | 46c | 344.51$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.4 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…562ebacked No | 45c | 320.27$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…4136backed No | 29c | 315.67$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.13 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…f0b4backed No | 53c | 313.18$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 68c | 308$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…eddebacked No | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e1…4fa1backed No | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…bfeabacked Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +265%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…2093backed No | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47a9…c9a2backed Yes | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1,138.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…be7ebacked Yes | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…48c1backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…d8febacked No | 49c | 283.47$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.19 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +304.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 27c | 279.34$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.25 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Yes | 74c | 276.28$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.75 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 8c | 264.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.05 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f87…83c1backed Yes | 70c | 252.21$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed No | 61c | 244.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.82 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 24c | 216.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.18 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 28c | 203$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.77 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…33c1backed Yes | 60c | 177.96$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.1 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…6ba9backed No | 52c | 176.54$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cb…a8e0backed No | 21c | 170$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +266.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed Yes | 34c | 162.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 38c | 151.12$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.44 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa56c…3020backed Yes | 67c | 149.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked No | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3525…9b68backed Yes | 70c | 140.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…bab7backed Yes | 70c | 139.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked Yes | 51c | 137.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 58c | 133.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 22c | 127.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d3…6eabbacked No | 29c | 119.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…b35bbacked Yes | 73c | 113.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 63c | 111.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 40c | 108.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ed…7d22backed No | 20c | 105$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 50c | 101.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fd…83b5backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ced…1f21backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7f…3e85backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…e413backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +145.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3545…1a96backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed No | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +23.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…f332backed Yes | 69c | 95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 59c | 87.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…3a30backed Yes | 60c | 83.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…c299backed Yes | 73c | 80$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 21c | 79.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 31c | 78.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 111 | 7.2%8 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03b7…992ebacked No | 45c | 78.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…7d27backed Yes | 73c | 77.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a5…671dbacked No | 33c | 74.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…b6e5backed No | 27c | 74.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed No | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 69 | 11.6%8 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 19c | 70.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…31f0backed No | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd223…5ec2backed No | 19c | 64.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…06fbbacked Yes | 80c | 62.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…bbfbbacked No | 29c | 61.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5d…31b9backed Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…2998backed No | 54c | 55.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 56c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…b16dbacked No | 39c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…ce56backed Yes | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc91…b906backed No | 37c | 54.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…6757backed No | 39c | 45.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?this page
- Space FDV above $100M one day after launch?No won
- Space FDV above $120M one day after launch?No won
- Space FDV above $140M one day after launch?No won
- Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?No won
- Space FDV above $160M one day after launch?No won
- Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
- Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?No won
- Space FDV above $60M one day after launch?No won
- Space FDV above $80M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.