Token Launches · resolved market
Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e0540fd1a2b6ca009fe99450c4aa03b2a100b7da3007fd3a6fbde9818238f84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 45c | 5,835$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.28 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…c715backed No | 52c | 4,742$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.28 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…694dbacked No | 28c | 3,828$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +175.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed Yes | 50c | 3,753$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.32 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b0…7de0backed Yes | 69c | 3,226$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7a2abacked Yes | 48c | 3,041$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.58 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Yes | 68c | 2,844$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.99 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 26c | 2,728$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.21 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d68…4f6dbacked Yes | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…b1b4backed No | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Yes | 72c | 1,948$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0822…84e5backed No | 8c | 1,900$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +206.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbbca…9863backed No | 49c | 1,847$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.22 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…968ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,824$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.29 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc680…a9abbacked No | 45c | 1,645$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed No | 49c | 1,489$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.06 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5304…13e8backed Yes | 52c | 1,372$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.73 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…afe9backed Yes | 64c | 1,321$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 50c | 1,183$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked No | 43c | 1,163$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.32 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…48c1backed Yes | 56c | 1,107$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.19 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…4e07backed No | 48c | 1,078$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.32 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…15d3backed Yes | 57c | 1,050$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…cc15backed Yes | 50c | 1,031$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…1f81backed No | 50c | 918.95$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f1…dcbbbacked Yes | 44c | 898.3$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…4a49backed No | 52c | 859.96$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.63 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e15…cfdbbacked Yes | 61c | 851.56$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 7c | 833$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.44 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 43c | 791.26$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.64 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf17…6cc6backed No | 28c | 719.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.39 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…562ebacked No | 56c | 643.73$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 51c | 624.78$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.64 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…01d6backed No | 50c | 613$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde90…76b1backed No | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cea…d1d2backed Yes | 50c | 594.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa56c…3020backed Yes | 66c | 587.31$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed No | 41c | 552.58$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…a7a5backed No | 27c | 525.45$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +166.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1b…efb5backed No | 48c | 520.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.69 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +11.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…256abacked Yes | 73c | 502.19$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9965…b6cbbacked No | 60c | 500.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.81 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked No | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a6…588ebacked Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…4136backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.59 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…116fbacked Yes | 46c | 468.42$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.75 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…ed7fbacked No | 56c | 430$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ed…7d22backed No | 39c | 406$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 60c | 398.38$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.75 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…33c1backed Yes | 24c | 363.92$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.91 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 49c | 363$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.57 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…64c3backed Yes | 54c | 357.43$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4a79backed No | 37c | 341.95$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.02 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fda…3fd7backed Yes | 42c | 335.42$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked No | 51c | 315.45$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.45 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed No | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +23.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4822…0de4backed No | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…aa0ebacked Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +97%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…1405backed Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcedb…20febacked No | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 67c | 299.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked Yes | 61c | 295.25$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.37 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b55…78c7backed No | 43c | 291.91$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a32…6d07backed No | 55c | 290$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0feb…9876backed Yes | 71c | 282.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Yes | 71c | 280.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked Yes | 4c | 269.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x894d…6916backed Yes | 46c | 255$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed Yes | 51c | 254.91$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966a…6d73backed Yes | 56c | 249.73$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 43c | 244.93$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.08 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed No | 36c | 237.56$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.04 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x987c…9e49backed No | 51c | 228.34$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 27c | 223.06$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.41 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x407c…49aabacked No | 8c | 202.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.5 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed No | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…579cbacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…3ceebacked Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…4ec0backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4218…4814backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…124abacked No | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked No | 51c | 194.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.48 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 11c | 173.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 30c | 167.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 53c | 166.72$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…e413backed No | 60c | 165.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +145.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…1dc9backed No | 51c | 154.54$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.23 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e0…d94abacked No | 63c | 152.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…ef98backed Yes | 66c | 151.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 51c | 138.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9a…ed29backed Yes | 66c | 137.23$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 32c | 130.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.69 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…fc67backed Yes | 61c | 130.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 54c | 125.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 41c | 123.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.26 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe89d…151dbacked No | 46c | 120.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…07c4backed No | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec3…f32bbacked Yes | 41c | 119.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?this page
- Space FDV above $100M one day after launch?No won
- Space FDV above $120M one day after launch?No won
- Space FDV above $140M one day after launch?No won
- Space FDV above $160M one day after launch?No won
- Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
- Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?No won
- Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?No won
- Space FDV above $60M one day after launch?No won
- Space FDV above $80M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.