TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc701…33c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 63 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7640.8%31 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$9,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,549.84
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$7,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,500
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$3,990.57
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16,988Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,988.41
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$577.93
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,700
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$2,026.95
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$3,910.26
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,240.43
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Portugal vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,325.58
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,708.33
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$969.7
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,740.08
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
Brazil leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+102.8%+$1,130.58
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+133.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$283.43
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.54
Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.1
Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.91
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+438.9%+$2,411.33
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,427Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$576.88
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+222.1%+$96.53
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$142.95
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,026Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$1,851.48
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$7,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,650.17
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$883Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+168.4%+$1,487.24
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$816Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+68%+$554.3
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+183.9%+$1,097.48
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,570.05
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$2,594.12
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$4,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$10,772.41
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.51
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$646.15
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$233.33
All 3 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,314
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.