Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c995fa852613961df5b34fc1b2d14eb6850145f5d28d349d1622f4ed8cd84ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spainof Portugal, Spain
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,926,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,377,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,926,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 5,528 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6501…1220backed Spain | 65c | 605,991$395,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210,912.42 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +9.3wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Spain | 79c | 477,517$375,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,855.15 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c1…a743backed Portugal | 34c | 317,776$107,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,343.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…ad91backed Portugal | 34c | 299,999$102,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,999.74 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…9458backed Spain | 66c | 299,999$197,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,999.63 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…658ebacked Portugal | 34c | 299,997$101,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,998.97 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…06f6backed Portugal | 35c | 277,777$97,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,222.06 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Spain | 66c | 262,238$172,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,783.43 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Spain | 65c | 250,001$162,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,500.28 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Spain | 67c | 221,898$148,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,226.48 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5f…2e21backed Spain | 66c | 173,157$114,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,690.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Portugal | 37c | 159,795$58,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,358.79 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…5dabbacked Portugal | 34c | 153,237$52,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,100.42 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked Spain | 66c | 146,000$96,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,639.84 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Portugal | 34c | 127,550$42,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,959.49 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Portugal | 35c | 125,640$43,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,974.17 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Portugal | 36c | 124,000$44,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,639.93 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Portugal | 31c | 123,551$38,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,544.96 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…9d59backed Spain | 66c | 119,999$79,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,799.8 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Portugal | 34c | 112,446$38,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,008.38 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed Portugal | 33c | 112,301$37,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,305.55 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…29a5backed Spain | 67c | 100,781$67,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,257.78 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Portugal | 34c | 100,000$34,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,000 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Spain | 66c | 99,999$66,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,999.79 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…a8c0backed Spain | 66c | 98,871$65,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,616.21 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Portugal | 5c | 89,247$4,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,146.77 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…bd8bbacked Spain | 67c | 87,483$58,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,869.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…2654backed Spain | 63c | 82,443$51,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,503.93 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Portugal | 34c | 80,085$27,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,340.41 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Portugal | 26c | 79,349$20,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,393.2 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Portugal | 10c | 76,042$7,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,290.12 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fef…a50cbacked Portugal | 0c | 75,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Spain | 65c | 70,011$45,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,503.63 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Spain | 66c | 66,135$43,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,486.02 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Portugal | 33c | 65,003$21,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,523.91 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Spain | 66c | 65,000$42,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,100 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Spain | 66c | 64,999$43,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,849.77 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spain | 66c | 64,528$42,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,969.69 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Portugal | 33c | 62,149$20,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,487.7 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…63b1backed Portugal | 34c | 60,779$20,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,664.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…57afbacked Portugal | 33c | 60,675$20,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,082.66 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…73c3backed Portugal | 35c | 60,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,000 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Spain | 66c | 59,000$38,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,059.94 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1153…df79backed Portugal | 34c | 58,824$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb5…af22backed Spain | 66c | 55,089$36,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,787.11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Portugal | 15c | 52,612$8,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,125.89 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Spain | 64c | 50,000$32,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,999.96 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed Spain | 66c | 50,000$33,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,999.85 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15b…38afbacked Spain | 66c | 49,999$32,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,999.67 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…9e9fbacked Portugal | 33c | 49,950$16,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,483.41 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Portugal | 35c | 47,918$16,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,549.42 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Spain | 64c | 47,076$30,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,793.53 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe94…8a3dbacked Portugal | 33c | 45,000$15,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,050 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…2fefbacked Spain | 67c | 44,776$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,776.12 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…a925backed Spain | 67c | 41,984$28,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,854.56 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…197fbacked Portugal | 34c | 41,844$14,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,226.95 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…e409backed Portugal | 0c | 40,556$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355d…65e0backed Spain | 66c | 40,000$26,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,599.94 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Portugal | 34c | 38,668$12,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,958 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0210…4debbacked Spain | 67c | 35,263$23,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,636.73 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…3d54backed Portugal | 34c | 35,000$11,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,900 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Spain | 66c | 34,000$22,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,560 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…23febacked Portugal | 34c | 33,837$11,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,504.58 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…c5cbbacked Portugal | 34c | 33,547$11,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,405.98 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…ca29backed Portugal | 34c | 33,370$11,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,345.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Spain | 65c | 32,000$20,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,079.99 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Portugal | 34c | 31,518$10,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,716 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Spain | 67c | 31,343$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,343.19 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Portugal | 22c | 30,649$6,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,831.41 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Spain | 65c | 30,000$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…fac1backed Spain | 67c | 30,000$20,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,900 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Portugal | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.95 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Portugal | 34c | 30,000$10,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,099.92 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Portugal | 33c | 30,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,899.89 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1b…a59cbacked Spain | 67c | 29,708$19,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,803.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…a804backed Portugal | 35c | 29,518$10,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,331.24 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Portugal | 34c | 29,412$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…867ebacked Portugal | 35c | 28,857$10,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,100 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2299…d23abacked Portugal | 35c | 28,571$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Spain | 66c | 28,007$18,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,522.38 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Spain | 62c | 27,792$17,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,661.63 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Portugal | 19c | 27,779$5,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,415.38 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…9491backed Portugal | 34c | 27,371$9,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,306.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Portugal | 33c | 26,698$8,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,810.23 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…3422backed Portugal | 34c | 25,810$8,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,775.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…dea6backed Portugal | 34c | 25,505$8,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,671.7 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf53…3146backed Spain | 62c | 25,350$15,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,533.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca02…76d3backed Portugal | 33c | 24,245$8,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000.81 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Spain | 63c | 24,178$15,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,854.72 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Spain | 65c | 24,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,399.95 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaede…c43fbacked Portugal | 34c | 23,834$8,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,103.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Portugal | 34c | 23,791$8,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,186.82 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Spain | 66c | 23,010$15,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,901.03 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…5dc4backed Spain | 66c | 22,966$15,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,738.47 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Spain | 65c | 22,956$15,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,921.43 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x794d…53c8backed Spain | 64c | 22,567$14,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,193.42 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c5…1e01backed Spain | 64c | 22,335$14,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,040.69 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Portugal | 33c | 22,058$7,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,279.14 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…416fbacked Portugal | 35c | 21,973$7,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,627.1 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Portugal | 32c | 21,770$6,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,973.18 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancethis page
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 6.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Portugal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.