TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,208
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,917

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,208 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf164…8fa4backed Over11c28,256$3,108 inLost-$3,108.162729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+46.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c03…522dbacked Over11c6,659$732 inLost-$732.443030%9 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Over12c4,450$534 inLost-$534.0113721.2%29 W · 108 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over12c2,917$350 inLost-$35046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over10c2,705$270 inLost-$270.481,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over11c1,555$177 inLost-$176.723,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over5c1,309$70 inLost-$7027637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over11c1,000$110 inLost-$11010718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+14.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9f4c…14ddbacked Over11c909.09$100 inLost-$1002326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over9c467.43$44 inLost-$43.5371939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Over11c454.55$50 inLost-$5028535.8%102 W · 183 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over11c454.55$50 inLost-$5037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over10c445.91$45 inLost-$44.861,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over11c436$48 inLost-$47.963,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Over5c370$19 inLost-$18.58713.8%12 W · 75 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Over5c348.66$16 inLost-$1617240.7%70 W · 102 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over11c339$37 inLost-$37.292,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over11c324.19$36 inLost-$35.6646546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ec…c5d6backed Over11c272.73$30 inLost-$307514.7%11 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over4c250$10 inLost-$1040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over10c244.02$26 inLost-$25.553,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over8c217.88$17 inLost-$17.431,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf91…4c43backed Over11c181.82$20 inLost-$205619.6%11 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over11c181.82$20 inLost-$2022919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over9c167.25$15 inLost-$15.392,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Over12c150$18 inLost-$1812013.3%16 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3e6…5a71backed Over8c147.62$12 inLost-$122015%3 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over11c136.36$15 inLost-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a5…f089backed Over11c136.36$15 inLost-$155213.5%7 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4681…dbecbacked Over11c114.55$13 inLost-$12.63112.9%4 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-55.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.