TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Portugalof Spain, Portugal
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$278,581
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$286,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,581 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Spain3c35,895$959 inLost-$958.973,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Spain3c33,687$949 inLost-$949.042,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Spain3c13,351$360 inLost-$360.4742710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Spain3c12,335$400 inLost-$40024917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Spain3c10,547$316 inLost-$316.4271638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa850…9b11backed Spain3c10,500$326 inLost-$325.515229.6%45 W · 107 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x772d…45bbbacked Spain1c6,099$77 inLost-$76.716819.1%13 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-52.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Spain3c5,224$131 inLost-$131.051,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed Spain3c5,000$160 inLost-$1606543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Spain3c5,000$155 inLost-$15512227.9%34 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Spain3c4,325$130 inLost-$129.7536031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Spain3c3,334$100 inLost-$100.021226.6%8 W · 114 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9326…d416backed Spain3c2,920$91 inLost-$90.7110%0 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spain3c2,645$79 inLost-$79.362,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Spain3c2,000$66 inLost-$6621444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spain3c1,503$43 inLost-$42.772,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed Spain1c1,251$10 inLost-$103452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Spain3c1,049$35 inLost-$3514528.3%41 W · 104 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Spain3c900$29 inLost-$28.87632.9%25 W · 51 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90fe…b7b8backed Spain3c896.61$27 inLost-$26.916449.4%81 W · 83 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Spain3c800.25$24 inLost-$24.191,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1af9…9931backed Spain3c800$26 inLost-$26.4230%0 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e7d…224cbacked Spain3c758.03$25 inLost-$25156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-78%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Spain3c715$21 inLost-$21.4597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacca…3fb0backed Spain3c700$23 inLost-$23.1240%0 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Spain3c669.81$22 inLost-$21.932,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Spain3c599.98$19 inLost-$18.931,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…6fabbacked Spain3c598.71$20 inLost-$2010944%48 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Spain3c389$13 inLost-$13.271,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa256…859ebacked Spain3c385.3$12 inLost-$11.821711.8%2 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+247.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.