TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$461,868
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$454,707

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $461,868 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73bc…46cebacked Under48c113,789$55,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,610.7117852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under47c104,431$49,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,348.2977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over53c100,827$53,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,438.4812254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over52c41,154$21,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,400.182,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over52c29,475$15,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,295.762,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over47c15,831$7,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,434.282,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc15b…38afbacked Over52c13,773$7,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,162.113063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c12,885$7,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,742.994,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over53c10,143$5,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,375.587140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under48c7,500$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.9940655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb944…15a3backed Over50c7,000$3,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,489.93369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under54c6,580$3,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,048.123,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under49c6,549$3,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,339.9970244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over40c6,408$2,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,571.242,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under48c6,258$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,260.981,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under70c5,717$4,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.764,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c5,359$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,804.062,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over0c5,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over52c4,444$2,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,310.8832029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under48c4,381$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.441,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under52c4,178$2,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.322,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over22c4,084$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.84,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x426d…6885backed Over52c3,771$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,961.057844.9%35 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Over52c3,462$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80017944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Over52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56018929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe18…3be4backed Over51c2,931$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6783…401abacked Over52c2,894$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005250%26 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over53c2,772$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.2110051%51 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over52c2,769$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43016747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under47c2,604$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.0438026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over23c2,500$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.961,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c2,415$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.838,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under48c2,364$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.473,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over8c2,256$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.4845145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Over47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.9911044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00033641.7%140 W · 196 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under48c1,774$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.753,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf312…b94dbacked Over51c1,717$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.379351.6%48 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over43c1,589$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.532,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Over51c1,400$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71433235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef88…d62cbacked Over50c1,399$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.53363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over50c1,384$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.9770648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under49c1,326$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.411,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf184…d472backed Over53c1,183$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.1311746.2%54 W · 63 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under70c1,032$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.132,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50ab…15a0backed Over51c1,011$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.53537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked Over53c981.32$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.117042.4%72 W · 98 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Over52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012556.8%71 W · 54 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bea…a4a9backed Over52c961.53$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under47c903.56$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.8532042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eee…9b2bbacked Over53c880$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.43354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over2c851.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2327227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over15c765.74$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.361,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Over52c757.69$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39413754.7%75 W · 62 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under48c750$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.751,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under48c747.78$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over49c729.32$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.381,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6648…4798backed Over27c699.99$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1897748.1%37 W · 40 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Over52c634.62$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33010142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34ab…840ebacked Over32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75cc…51a3backed Over52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31212032.5%39 W · 81 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce3…bc6cbacked Over52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over50c571.39$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.541,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over9c554.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.541,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9726…fb3fbacked Over49c549.39$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.071154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under48c510$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.217052.9%90 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Over52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26019442.3%82 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over35c499.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1754139%16 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5669…0f13backed Over27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1358140.7%33 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x407c…4ba3backed Over51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015947.2%75 W · 84 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Over52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under48c476$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.5295739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bea…98d2backed Over52c473.23$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under75c454.17$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.413,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over31c450.43$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.562,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over50c450$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22522943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under47c430.71$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.411,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Over6c416.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256842.6%29 W · 39 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Over51c400$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20325251.2%129 W · 123 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7b1…7e9abacked Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d4d…fba6backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014239.4%56 W · 86 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf663…5654backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d91…2109backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006835.3%24 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x788c…8c15backed Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008036.3%29 W · 51 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over3c371.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.162,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over52c345.19$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.516544.8%74 W · 91 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Over30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017345.1%78 W · 95 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over41c333$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5343826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c2f…07d3backed Over53c330.19$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1753941%16 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…443ebacked Over52c318.17$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over52c305.68$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9553448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4388…fdbebacked Over51c292$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.922254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1f…3fd0backed Over7c289.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015837.3%59 W · 99 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5534…eb60backed Over52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015120.5%31 W · 120 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cbb…3ec7backed Over53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under48c281$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.011,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over7c270$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9582537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over51c264.4$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4272722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under48c260$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.288852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.