TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$735,279
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$845,459

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $735,279 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x547f…2937backed Under70c200,000$139,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,170.392774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over30c105,945$31,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,723.9374752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Under70c100,000$70,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,999.9822348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d6d…2654backed Under70c99,821$70,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,821.172657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over29c88,349$25,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,254.884,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over31c50,000$15,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,443.472,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Over32c31,490$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00013725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over30c19,212$5,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,763.531,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a72…17c0backed Over32c15,313$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9001540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over30c15,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under68c13,169$9,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,162.971,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under69c12,749$8,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,952.1240655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over31c11,429$3,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,566.042,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over27c10,282$2,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,785.883,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over24c7,881$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa1…792fbacked Under66c7,627$5,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,615.962751.9%14 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over30c7,500$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25021937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under68c6,393$4,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.261,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x285a…3326backed Under69c5,180$3,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.027852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c0…1bedbacked Over31c4,704$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.156050%30 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over30c4,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3506930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae84…fd9dbacked Over30c4,023$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over30c4,022$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.597140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under68c4,000$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked Under70c4,000$2,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2205646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Over30c3,938$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.41250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Over30c3,938$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.3913261.4%81 W · 51 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over30c3,937$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.0311348.7%55 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Over30c3,672$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.636445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over30c3,118$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.364,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under68c3,096$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.552,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e37…6789backed Under70c2,972$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.611070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c03…522dbacked Over13c2,839$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.053030%9 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Under69c2,500$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77531152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over2c2,317$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8751514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Over21c2,299$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.7313623.5%32 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d74…cfb2backed Over31c2,238$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7009335.5%33 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe955…62dabacked Over32c2,133$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.89850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over26c2,076$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.948,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over32c2,048$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.261,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Over25c2,011$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.2413043.8%57 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8731…2c12backed Over31c1,865$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5782334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Over30c1,821$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf85…71e4backed Over30c1,813$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5441330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8224…7384backed Over22c1,765$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.315343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7942…b60bbacked Under69c1,739$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.137234.7%25 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+31.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over30c1,671$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.142,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b0…4dffbacked Over30c1,500$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4551384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.4wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+69.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over31c1,442$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.393,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5723353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef5…fc37backed Over31c1,338$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.7810152.5%53 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over31c1,290$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over31c1,129$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over31c1,051$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.732,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Over31c1,020$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.2513736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Over31c987.1$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30632739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over31c980.41$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.41,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9e…b594backed Over31c967.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b02…083abacked Over31c806.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506225.8%16 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over31c750$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.522943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over23c720.46$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.352,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Over29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea7…9d9abacked Over30c660$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19822730.4%69 W · 158 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d9…708dbacked Under70c650.83$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.649372%67 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over23c638.95$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9287…0098backed Over31c585$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.3523540.9%96 W · 139 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under78c550.36$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4519649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over27c543.49$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.032,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb172…7862backed Over21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10527837.8%105 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under70c417.69$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.072,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Under69c417$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2713860.9%84 W · 54 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Under76c389.16$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9733438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under69c362.32$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.327471.6%53 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over30c345.84$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Over29c329.34$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6814317.5%25 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over31c327.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9048…d351backed Over31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014841.9%62 W · 86 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59c6…3c8abacked Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006043.3%26 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5415…f764backed Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f76…1219backed Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over17c311.94$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.471939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9328164.1%180 W · 101 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe497…927fbacked Over31c298.55$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.557222.2%16 W · 56 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae2b…daa8backed Under68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1213157.3%75 W · 56 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over31c293.55$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9127742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over25c278.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7029338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over31c271$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.019563.2%60 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6af9…f380backed Over36c268.13$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-63.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Over19c258.61$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4917240.7%70 W · 102 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xab60…ac53backed Over29c248.17$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.97911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-82.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over32c235$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.432,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over31c226.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3119935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Under67c225.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2714659.6%87 W · 59 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over19c221.3$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.061,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over32c203.13$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6519939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Over31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6214244.4%63 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.