TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,629
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,629 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over2c44,067$719 inLost-$719.171,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over10c7,240$724 inLost-$7242,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over4c6,778$271 inLost-$271.182,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Over9c3,000$270 inLost-$27042710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over10c2,697$262 inLost-$261.561,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Over2c2,541$44 inLost-$43.8232433.6%109 W · 215 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over1c2,500$25 inLost-$254,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over4c2,174$92 inLost-$91.811,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over1c1,760$26 inLost-$25.8665737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over9c1,295$111 inLost-$111.478,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb35…ed57backed Over10c847.1$85 inLost-$84.711833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Over1c766.77$11 inLost-$10.9524541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over4c699.97$28 inLost-$282,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over9c593.38$53 inLost-$53.472722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Over3c542.44$17 inLost-$16.95121.6%11 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1411…631dbacked Over10c500$50 inLost-$507711.7%9 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick9cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over9c500$45 inLost-$4547127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x171f…7dd0backed Over10c500$50 inLost-$502814.3%4 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid+30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over9c457.39$41 inLost-$41.173,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf346…8232backed Over10c350$35 inLost-$3525510.6%27 W · 228 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5b…3772backed Over7c338.89$25 inLost-$25385.3%2 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-78.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over10c300$30 inLost-$3052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over10c276$28 inLost-$27.62,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over9c255.99$24 inLost-$24.042,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Over6c207.93$12 inLost-$11.8824843.1%107 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over5c200$10 inLost-$1040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over6c170$11 inLost-$11.022,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over9c166$15 inLost-$14.9432837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over9c140$13 inLost-$12.62,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb02…0f88backed Over9c120$11 inLost-$10.8224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over10c120$12 inLost-$1219939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4681…dbecbacked Over10c118.1$12 inLost-$11.813112.9%4 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-55.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacf6…dba1backed Over10c100$10 inLost-$102138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-38.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4519…49e4backed Over10c100$10 inLost-$104910.2%5 W · 44 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-61.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.