TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,857,906
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,850,465

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,857,906 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,093 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8372…5223backed Yes41c754,200$311,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311,895.85451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c712,758$440,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271,782.634,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes60c519,999$311,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311,499.3421343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No40c246,295$98,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147,776.8610740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No63c197,935$125,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,816.7974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked No46c187,950$87,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,924.5920448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes52c161,111$84,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84,059.798,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No40c130,606$52,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,363.818738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf67…fe3dbacked Yes60c125,000$75,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,000683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No49c117,767$58,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,754.214139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No52c112,006$58,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,830.3456541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…2500backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002817.9%5 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes53c97,008$51,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,834.642,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes38c88,567$33,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,728.0549441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes60c88,353$52,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,742.211,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No40c79,585$31,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,750.9729740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab3e…de25backed No40c75,000$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,0002352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Yes59c70,000$41,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,249.823942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked No42c69,999$29,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,599.6642345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed No40c65,000$26,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,0009845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes59c50,163$29,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,588.912,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c5…6930backed No40c50,100$20,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,0606053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No47c48,676$23,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,603.453,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a9…df76backed No62c48,387$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,387.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked No40c47,823$19,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,693.8615249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf072…467abacked Yes50c42,053$21,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,1759446.8%44 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes60c40,833$24,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,50018047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No40c39,230$15,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,5388845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c0…1bedbacked No40c38,000$15,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,8006050%30 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No40c33,000$13,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,799.8120731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes60c31,000$18,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,5452,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No49c28,842$14,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,679.63,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9732…1539backed Yes38c27,531$10,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,488.892123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed No40c25,424$10,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,254.415240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked No42c25,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,5008521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No45c22,745$10,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,463.782,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No62c22,260$13,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,458.7825844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No58c21,605$12,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,979.481,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed No62c21,466$13,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,157.068931.5%28 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No53c20,000$10,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,394.8131851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7124…f0b5backed Yes59c19,915$11,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,791.622835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked No41c16,701$6,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,853.358057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No64c16,315$10,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,947.691,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Yes47c16,184$7,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,638.0537944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No55c15,121$8,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,807.121,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No40c15,100$6,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,059.892934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes60c15,013$9,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0088240.2%33 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x459b…f771backed No79c14,932$11,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,147.689243.5%40 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes20c14,788$2,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,989.379231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes59c14,073$8,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,283.7236247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No62c13,926$8,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,326.344,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes58c13,678$7,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,93317416.1%28 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes59c13,400$7,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,955.6333235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked No42c13,006$5,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,588.737143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes43c12,500$5,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,35517544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa39…bb64backed Yes60c10,595$6,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,357450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x794d…53c8backed Yes58c10,257$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0005240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36a7…63f1backed No41c10,140$4,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,982.61855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Yes60c10,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0006943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,00029646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…ba41backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed No41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,899.9510653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No41c9,715$3,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,732.222,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No59c9,069$5,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,728.6818848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No40c9,000$3,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,369.931,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No43c8,956$3,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,134.5640655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf731…e5c2backed Yes61c8,921$5,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,441.54944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No41c8,648$3,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,102.41,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed No63c8,624$5,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,190.886056.7%34 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Yes11c8,583$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.713623.5%32 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15bd…8c6ebacked Yes59c8,500$5,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,01510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes24c8,483$2,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,042.5365835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Yes60c8,435$5,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,060.977140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f57…66b1backed Yes53c8,369$4,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,435.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b8…b908backed No40c8,350$3,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0105156.9%29 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+40.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes60c8,333$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006526.2%17 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa66e…f4bebacked Yes60c8,300$4,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,979.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe666…713abacked Yes60c8,300$4,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9801650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Yes37c8,113$3,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,001.7516152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes60c8,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80038817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed No41c8,000$3,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,689.9926445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked No44c8,000$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,459.9211031.8%35 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes36c7,943$2,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,867.462,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb9…5c61backed Yes27c7,939$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,109.821346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+95.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b46…8438backed Yes60c7,895$4,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7379454.3%51 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes7c7,887$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.7266846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb10b…5102backed Yes60c7,825$4,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6954242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Yes59c7,661$4,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,520.158735.6%31 W · 56 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed No42c7,617$3,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,391.9725336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc173…26eebacked Yes32c7,496$2,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,368.721060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No41c7,317$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,317.0322451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Yes38c7,268$2,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,761.93026.7%8 W · 22 L-5.9wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-47.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaf48…36c2backed Yes59c7,226$4,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,263.345349.1%26 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes14c7,165$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.946147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes59c7,100$4,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,18918929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Yes36c7,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5202748.1%13 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick30cpaid+120.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes2c6,779$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3741331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36e7…f307backed Yes15c6,659$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9787432.4%24 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked No62c6,580$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500.45846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6219…aa6fbacked Yes44c6,390$2,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,81010057%57 W · 43 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.