Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e61637192c084b6e152e177e0c75db2ee0058cbfe54c2e08077ebc65d5b5a22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,436,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,391,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,436,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 215,350$107,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,475.86 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Under | 21c | 197,948$42,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155,579.27 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 149,059$62,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,949.16 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 55c | 128,339$70,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,586.3 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Under | 22c | 87,313$19,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,103.88 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +11.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 78,288$23,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,958.09 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…cf03backed Over | 79c | 69,620$55,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,000 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…2004backed Under | 45c | 60,000$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,000 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 6c | 49,604$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.96 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 51c | 43,376$21,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,945.74 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 44c | 38,145$16,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,193.42 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked Under | 44c | 36,728$16,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,586.99 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 32c | 33,279$10,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,739.7 | 245 | 33.5%82 W · 163 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 48c | 26,709$12,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,018.48 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…21fabacked Under | 21c | 26,596$5,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,010.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 79c | 26,315$20,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,788.85 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Over | 4c | 25,023$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.27 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Over | 22c | 23,000$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,130 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 30cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe18…3be4backed Over | 58c | 22,203$12,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,823.18 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 79c | 20,588$16,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,264.52 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 79c | 20,349$16,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,075.71 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 46c | 19,238$8,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,479.63 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 19,022$9,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,929.37 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed4…e181backed Over | 55c | 17,921$9,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,856.58 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 55c | 17,482$9,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,615.11 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…2617backed Over | 30c | 16,290$4,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,893.46 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 15,872$8,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,574.72 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…138cbacked Over | 19c | 14,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 42c | 13,931$5,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,035.18 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Over | 7c | 13,633$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.79 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…aaa9backed Over | 20c | 12,438$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.53 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 58c | 11,567$6,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,826.81 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over | 3c | 11,154$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.76 | 229 | 33.6%77 W · 152 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Over | 8c | 10,108$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.77 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed Over | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed Over | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Under | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.95 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked Under | 68c | 9,358$6,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.56 | 376 | 50.8%191 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 22c | 8,929$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,988.91 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…baf1backed Over | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Under | 35c | 8,640$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,615.99 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 71c | 7,787$5,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.98 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 78c | 7,500$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,849.97 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…0857backed Over | 5c | 6,786$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.67 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 60c | 6,180$3,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.38 | 306 | 26.5%81 W · 225 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Under | 61c | 6,060$3,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.53 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5797…8636backed Over | 42c | 5,714$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…1139backed Over | 79c | 5,696$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff57…1802backed Under | 74c | 5,593$4,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.23 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Under | 21c | 5,260$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,155.37 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Over | 0c | 5,250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 43c | 5,193$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.01 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 16c | 5,155$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.42 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 38c | 5,148$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.2 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 79c | 5,063$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09dd…7e13backed Over | 59c | 5,013$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.1 | 379 | 44.1%167 W · 212 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Under | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe974…f815backed Over | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6d…33e2backed Over | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 31c | 4,846$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.51 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae95…7adabacked Over | 79c | 4,829$3,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,808.7 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Over | 2c | 4,590$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Over | 51c | 4,357$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…c6edbacked Under | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,347.83 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Over | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 137 | 5.1%7 W · 130 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Over | 78c | 4,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.98 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 78c | 3,990$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.9 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 21c | 3,979$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,136.66 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 41c | 3,918$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.14 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…4b9abacked Over | 79c | 3,797$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d97…0fd4backed Over | 78c | 3,758$2,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 40c | 3,745$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.3 | 217 | 22.1%48 W · 169 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…5348backed Over | 79c | 3,708$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +125%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over | 52c | 3,708$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.79 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 79c | 3,623$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862.14 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Over | 55c | 3,596$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.68 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b3…dc76backed Over | 13c | 3,500$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe557…85bcbacked Over | 9c | 3,500$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Under | 27c | 3,462$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.26 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…08e9backed Over | 39c | 3,234$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.92 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Over | 59c | 3,217$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.18 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over | 31c | 3,196$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…b0f2backed Over | 78c | 3,079$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.61 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 37c | 3,044$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.48 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Over | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…b216backed Over | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked Over | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 12.3%14 W · 100 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +348.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…b74bbacked Over | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +231.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…a041backed Over | 54c | 3,000$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.96 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Under | 72c | 2,961$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.73 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…f6a1backed Over | 61c | 2,951$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 18c | 2,867$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.33 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…9a17backed Over | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed Over | 17c | 2,842$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.82 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 50c | 2,788$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.82 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked Over | 13c | 2,761$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69cf…6273backed Over | 13c | 2,761$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 15cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 2,752$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.15 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 75c | 2,749$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.25 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5this page
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 6.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Portugal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.