TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,436,515
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,391,403

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,436,515 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c215,350$107,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,475.864,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Under21c197,948$42,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155,579.2722348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over42c149,059$62,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,949.161,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over55c128,339$70,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,586.342345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Under22c87,313$19,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,103.8810056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over31c78,288$23,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,958.093,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6880…cf03backed Over79c69,620$55,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,0006048.3%29 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb809…2004backed Under45c60,000$27,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,0005957.6%34 W · 25 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over6c49,604$2,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,731.9651514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over51c43,376$21,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,945.742,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under44c38,145$16,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,193.4244539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Under44c36,728$16,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,586.9914139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over32c33,279$10,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,739.724533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under48c26,709$12,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,018.4842541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f90…21fabacked Under21c26,596$5,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,010.54057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over79c26,315$20,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,788.852,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over4c25,023$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.2728229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Over22c23,000$5,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1302748.1%13 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick30cpaid+120.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xbe18…3be4backed Over58c22,203$12,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,823.186841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over79c20,588$16,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,264.521,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over79c20,349$16,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,075.712,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under46c19,238$8,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,479.6344130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under48c19,022$9,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,929.3777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed4…e181backed Over55c17,921$9,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,856.587416.2%12 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over55c17,482$9,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,615.1114045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6796…2617backed Over30c16,290$4,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,893.463625%9 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c15,872$8,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,574.728,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0294…138cbacked Over19c14,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7003050%15 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under42c13,931$5,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,035.183,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over7c13,633$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.7936235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Over20c12,438$2,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,433.5313448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under58c11,567$6,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,826.8143737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over3c11,154$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.7622933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Over8c10,108$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.779742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf958…db13backed Over54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4003221.9%7 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under22c10,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,799.9520724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under68c9,358$6,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,039.5637650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under22c8,929$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,988.9131851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd42b…baf1backed Over56c8,929$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed Under35c8,640$3,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,615.9911642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under71c7,787$5,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.9864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over78c7,500$5,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,849.971,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over5c6,786$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.67626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under60c6,180$3,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,483.3830626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under61c6,060$3,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,363.537163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5797…8636backed Over42c5,714$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40011232.1%36 W · 76 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0079…1139backed Over79c5,696$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5003855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under74c5,593$4,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.2329740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under21c5,260$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,155.3720731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over0c5,250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over43c5,193$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,213.0137223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over16c5,155$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.422,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over38c5,148$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.275335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over79c5,063$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0008672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over59c5,013$2,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,969.137944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Under75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2509440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00011042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe974…f815backed Over7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a6d…33e2backed Over1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333%1 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over31c4,846$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.512,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae95…7adabacked Over79c4,829$3,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,808.72070%14 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over2c4,590$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.825125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over51c4,357$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,22210949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa923…c6edbacked Under23c4,348$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,347.833821.1%8 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Over1c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Over78c4,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.9816149.7%80 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over78c3,990$3,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,111.91,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under21c3,979$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,136.662,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over41c3,918$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.141,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8796…4b9abacked Over79c3,797$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d97…0fd4backed Over78c3,758$2,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,930.871457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over40c3,745$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.321722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62de…5348backed Over79c3,708$2,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,929.32650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+125%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over52c3,708$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.7982537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over79c3,623$2,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,862.145952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Over55c3,596$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.683554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69b3…dc76backed Over13c3,500$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601827.8%5 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+65.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe557…85bcbacked Over9c3,500$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3223411.8%4 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid+34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Under27c3,462$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,527.2619037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53c0…08e9backed Over39c3,234$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.924245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Over59c3,217$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.1811254.5%61 W · 51 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over31c3,196$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over78c3,079$2,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,401.6114463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under37c3,044$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.482,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed Over1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30287.1%2 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-88.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3a9…b216backed Over1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30641.6%1 W · 63 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Over1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011412.3%14 W · 100 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+348.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb30…b74bbacked Over10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002330.4%7 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+231.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x88b5…a041backed Over54c3,000$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.964045%18 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under72c2,961$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.7323540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7045…f6a1backed Over61c2,951$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80011555.7%64 W · 51 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over18c2,867$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.332,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Over35c2,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed Over17c2,842$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.8211942.9%51 W · 68 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under50c2,788$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.8226841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d6…423dbacked Over13c2,761$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69cf…6273backed Over13c2,761$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3604027.5%11 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick15cpaid+63.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under21c2,752$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,179.151,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under75c2,749$2,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.252,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.