TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,837
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$175,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,837 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e5e…7315backed Under34c18,528$6,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,333.86114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under25c18,204$4,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6264,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55f5…e2a0backed Over78c10,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2004870.8%34 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under18c9,723$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.883,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under16c7,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over55c6,447$3,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8832,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over74c6,242$4,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.962,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed Under3c3,701$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.01287.1%2 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-88.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under34c3,279$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.754,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Under17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51018027.8%50 W · 130 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Under16c3,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.993534.3%12 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7045…f6a1backed Over62c2,903$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.2311555.7%64 W · 51 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over32c2,789$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.822,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…cf79backed Under11c2,654$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005119.6%10 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick10cpaid+170.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Under32c2,488$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.878139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under16c2,465$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.323,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under16c2,390$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.363,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over80c2,372$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.18,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf622…b1f0backed Under10c2,100$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under16c2,090$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.272,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x479b…cdb1backed Over48c2,016$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.325337.7%20 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa06a…d284backed Over57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.381163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under16c1,705$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.8438026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Under41c1,630$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.9917747.5%84 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under53c1,480$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.3961750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over46c1,248$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.0841331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under13c1,200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15611216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Over65c1,076$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.719442.3%82 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16030626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under52c999.99$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5209752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Over51c998.99$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.59770.1%68 W · 29 L+12.0wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+23.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Under23c842.14$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.699821.4%21 W · 77 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under16c827.79$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4520724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over18c787.64$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.72,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e17…9d3cbacked Under71c735.28$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5224067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+39.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b1f…3fd0backed Over78c640$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.815837.3%59 W · 99 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over38c638$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.6922355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over50c636.58$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.984,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Under27c633.02$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.891,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb323…b4c3backed Over60c618.98$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.864348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42f0…7eb6backed Under20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203815.8%6 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10021850%109 W · 109 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Over79c499.93$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4810471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under16c493.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.613,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb36…a357backed Under17c482.35$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827211.1%8 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under15c472.53$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8870648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under16c472.19$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.142,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Over68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1848526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over67c415.5$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.1210562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under18c371.27$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.771,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Over65c302.87$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9817533.7%59 W · 116 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10573536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10587237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over65c264.36$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.531,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under53c250.94$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13319448.5%94 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6648…4798backed Over61c249.97$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.997748.1%37 W · 40 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Under17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018911.1%21 W · 168 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb15…b613backed Over55c233.91$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.893956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aeb…2b0bbacked Over73c233.18$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.945752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over70c231.68$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.791,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over20c221.81$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.4549441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6136…f535backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf1c…98e8backed Over80c212.1$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.425863.8%37 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over65c211.69$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0965036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over50c209.26$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.52,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f10…a6e3backed Over68c199.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644751.1%24 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c199.98$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9950450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92e6…8222backed Over78c193.59$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.595978%46 W · 13 L+7.2wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x471c…b252backed Under76c180.14$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.914856.3%27 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-4.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8116544.8%74 W · 91 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under27c167.04$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.431,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Under17c155.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4719038.9%74 W · 116 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Over53c150.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7417659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0625455.9%142 W · 112 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Under12c140$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.211114.4%16 W · 95 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under57c137$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.091,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78b3…98acbacked Under36c127.47$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.891145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+56.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5835251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d83…c000backed Over51c105.29$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.723534.3%12 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under33c103.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2373234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0411035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x214a…408abacked Over68c100.93$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.31353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Over79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218161.7%50 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4114244.4%63 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Under16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538028.8%23 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb28…3694backed Over76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2417950.3%90 W · 89 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3c…b218backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4011854.2%64 W · 54 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Under62c99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.386946.4%32 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefdb…3312backed Over53c94.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4310329.1%30 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0cb…419fbacked Over37c81.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4313742.3%58 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under26c80.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.926841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6dc…b355backed Over43c80.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.771656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93b7…1fddbacked Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.82524%6 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-51.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under16c80$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.81,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over20c78.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6345145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under16c75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1232837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa69f…6874backed Over67c73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.094242.9%18 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4722…36bbbacked Over78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.110761.7%66 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.