Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa66d557a8c64db61ce0f48fb7f1cdc86dc90ec1fee433be232b5327eecf19460

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $25,252
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $31,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,252 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x224f…514abacked Under	48c	6,698$3,228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,470.04	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under	50c	2,568$1,284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,284.02	160	50.6%81 W · 79 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	51c	2,521$1,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,280.9	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0f…3f10backed Over	50c	2,256$1,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,127.91	87	40.2%35 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	52c	617.23$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.68	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x307a…d612backed Over	51c	578.02$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.79	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	+4.9wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over	48c	499.98$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.99	229	43.7%100 W · 129 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under	49c	499.96$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.98	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d55…7cbabacked Over	3c	400$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.87	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5102…7b08backed Over	49c	390.27$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.23	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over	52c	346.35$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.1	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over	15c	326.37$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.46	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked Under	48c	272$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.44	147	45.6%67 W · 80 L	-9.6wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over	50c	263.92$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.92	170	52.9%90 W · 80 L	+13.0wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Under	51c	250.76$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.87	159	50.9%81 W · 78 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Over	52c	250$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	311	56.6%176 W · 135 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over	50c	250$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	105	62.9%66 W · 39 L	+9.1wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Over	49c	249.96$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.48	320	42.2%135 W · 185 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked Under	51c	243.08$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.11	211	46.9%99 W · 112 L	+6.9wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Over	23c	218.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.19	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+4.9wins	+0.18per pick	30cpaid	+120.1%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	59c	185.71$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.66	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	50c	177.99$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.41	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x772b…5facbacked Over	52c	160$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.2	196	50.5%99 W · 97 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked Under	50c	160$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	93	52.7%49 W · 44 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aea…10c9backed Over	79c	126.91$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	49c	122.38$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.04	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe321…2d2ebacked Under	51c	118.78$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.78	86	61.6%53 W · 33 L	+13.0wins	+0.15per pick	46cpaid	+36.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9dc6…a83dbacked Under	50c	102.77$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.91	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f2…e64ebacked Under	51c	101.96$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.96	103	54.4%56 W · 47 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c80…6ff1backed Over	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	284	39.1%111 W · 173 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ecc…415abacked Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	287	47%135 W · 152 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under	21c	95.23$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.23	669	32.1%215 W · 454 L	+16.8wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Over	50c	95.1$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.55	249	35.3%88 W · 161 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	49c	82.7$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.45	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	49c	81.58$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.97	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d83…c000backed Over	51c	78.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-22%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Over	44c	72.73$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+2.9wins	+0.12per pick	40cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked Under	51c	62.94$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.84	170	42.4%72 W · 98 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c1…7953backed Over	41c	60.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8278…ad93backed Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	263	44.5%117 W · 146 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Over	52c	52.16$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.12	660	56.8%375 W · 285 L	+34.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over	49c	51.96$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.46	166	56.6%94 W · 72 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x183b…b6e9backed Under	51c	50.98$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.98	61	57.4%35 W · 26 L	+5.8wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	50c	50.03$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.76	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Under	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	157	51%80 W · 77 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	462	47.6%220 W · 242 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc169…cb6abacked Over	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	170	47.1%80 W · 90 L	+10.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over	53c	46.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.81	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over	53c	45.24$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.81	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a0…0349backed Over	53c	42.96$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.77	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-37%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Under	49c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.4	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9a2…42f2backed Over	51c	39.53$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x636c…8827backed Over	50c	38.7$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.35	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1594…a834backed Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	94	54.3%51 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0b3…7902backed Over	50c	34.96$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.54	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	47c	34.38$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.22	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over	39c	33.04$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.77	341	2.9%10 W · 331 L	-132.4wins	-0.39per pick	42cpaid	-94%equal weight	10-0.36 edge/pick
0x5332…8af4backed Over	33c	33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.89	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over	51c	30.58$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.59	425	54.4%231 W · 194 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ad6…eed6backed Over	53c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.92	229	57.6%132 W · 97 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac7b…83e3backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5949…5fc4backed Over	36c	29.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	51	51%26 W · 25 L	+5.1wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2176…bc30backed Over	53c	29.93$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.88	276	63%174 W · 102 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under	49c	29.48$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.99	481	54.9%264 W · 217 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14af…02f2backed Over	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	60	31.7%19 W · 41 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under	50c	26.96$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.58	258	57%147 W · 111 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	51c	26.8$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.62	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcde0…d27cbacked Under	49c	24.26$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.26	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df3…b8bebacked Under	51c	22.1$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.83	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee1f…f6fabacked Over	50c	22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f2…131dbacked Over	51c	21.57$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	109	54.1%59 W · 50 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ce…d2cbbacked Over	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	87	46%40 W · 47 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 5.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 6.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain won
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Portugal won
Spread: Spain (-2.5)Portugal won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Portugal won
Spread: Spain (-4.5)Portugal won
Spread: Spain (-5.5)Portugal won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event