Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8245d738a9ef0d03849b4fd37c14fe7fee5c0816e866ff815a360ede240d9b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68b7…0812backed Under | 1c | 4,095$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.18per pick | 4cpaid | +703%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Under | 3c | 3,039$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.35 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…b216backed Under | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…cf79backed Under | 12c | 1,010$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.21 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | +170.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 15c | 609.76$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.9 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ab…110ebacked Under | 20c | 605.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 560.18$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.07 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under | 35c | 542.03$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +14.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce74…e6ecbacked Over | 60c | 524.32$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.32 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Under | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…4cb9backed Under | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 2cpaid | +622.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e4…ab64backed Over | 48c | 496.86$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…dcb4backed Under | 19c | 386.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 43c | 358.8$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.28 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 54c | 330.08$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.62 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 23c | 302.6$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 70c | 282.96$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf622…b1f0backed Under | 8c | 278.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 11c | 269.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Under | 17c | 182.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5f…b8efbacked Over | 72c | 153.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 18c | 149.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 17c | 116.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 15c | 109.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 19c | 106.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 12c | 102.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…b5f8backed Under | 19c | 102.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 200 | 17%34 W · 166 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a52…ff50backed Under | 43c | 92.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 41c | 79.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 41c | 52.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…6c8cbacked Under | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 53c | 48.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 177 | 60.5%107 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 25c | 45.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 41c | 31.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 51c | 29.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d9…a808backed Over | 75c | 20.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5this page
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 6.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Portugal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.