TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,136
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,049

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,136 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over0c16,078$63 inLost-$62.973,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over2c8,823$165 inLost-$165.0172722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Over2c7,000$133 inLost-$1335911.9%7 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+220.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94f5…1d29backed Over2c6,999$137 inLost-$136.982544%11 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over2c6,220$124 inLost-$124.392,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over2c5,546$111 inLost-$110.9271638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47dc…ffaabacked Over2c5,250$100 inLost-$99.7580%0 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed Over2c4,025$77 inLost-$76.525740.4%23 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over2c3,677$74 inLost-$73.551,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over2c3,479$64 inLost-$63.788,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over1c3,469$35 inLost-$34.69626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over2c2,938$59 inLost-$58.772969%20 W · 9 L+7.4wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+130.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Over2c2,596$57 inLost-$56.891567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over2c2,428$36 inLost-$36.483,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over2c1,881$35 inLost-$35.462,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over1c1,878$22 inLost-$221,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d2…4850backed Over2c1,694$40 inLost-$403414.7%5 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over2c1,439$26 inLost-$25.911,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked Over2c1,000$24 inLost-$2423429.1%68 W · 166 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28b8…62bcbacked Over2c1,000$20 inLost-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over2c1,000$19 inLost-$19.547127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Over2c933.67$17 inLost-$16.8142710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b96…4a58backed Over2c900$21 inLost-$20.7300%0 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over2c844.24$17 inLost-$16.832,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe86e…e26ebacked Over2c750$17 inLost-$17.25300%0 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x702a…26f9backed Over2c647.29$15 inLost-$15385.3%2 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-66.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…4f2dbacked Over2c582.86$14 inLost-$13.930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf89…6568backed Over2c500$10 inLost-$104910.2%5 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over2c500$11 inLost-$10.595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.