Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7751feaef12dc531aaa5d5d8b30216a1ec27a0fecd05ccf14b9028499878137

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Spainof Portugal, Spain
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $469,125
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $429,767

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $469,125 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb225…3d54backed Portugal	8c	81,000$6,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,469.98	95	25.3%24 W · 71 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84d0…95babacked Portugal	7c	57,196$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	83	16.9%14 W · 69 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e9adbacked Portugal	9c	22,222$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6534…240cbacked Portugal	6c	15,401$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	54	33.3%18 W · 36 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Portugal	8c	14,963$1,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,197.04	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Portugal	8c	13,744$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,099.54	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20b8…aa04backed Portugal	8c	12,500$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Portugal	8c	12,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Portugal	5c	11,268$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.71	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x69e2…5969backed Portugal	8c	7,828$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$626.24	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Portugal	6c	7,271$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.93	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5f9…a28cbacked Portugal	8c	6,250$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Portugal	8c	6,250$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	109	11%12 W · 97 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-66%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Portugal	9c	5,645$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.63	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Portugal	7c	4,704$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.3	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Portugal	7c	3,807$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.26	103	26.2%27 W · 76 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Portugal	7c	3,353$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.07	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Portugal	9c	3,150$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.5	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed Portugal	7c	2,977$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	226	26.5%60 W · 166 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x772d…45bbbacked Portugal	1c	2,833$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.06	68	19.1%13 W · 55 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Portugal	6c	2,722$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.33	254	18.1%46 W · 208 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Portugal	7c	2,678$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.96	122	6.6%8 W · 114 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Portugal	8c	2,653$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.47	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f66…849bbacked Portugal	8c	2,409$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.75	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d6e…4018backed Portugal	8c	2,407$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.54	91	14.3%13 W · 78 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Portugal	8c	2,317$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.15	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Portugal	5c	2,153$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.9	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Portugal	9c	2,122$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191	329	22.5%74 W · 255 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Portugal	8c	1,921$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.05	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Portugal	8c	1,813$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	168	31.5%53 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Portugal	11c	1,765$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.1	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Portugal	7c	1,343$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.25	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac9b…d9e9backed Portugal	8c	1,280$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.4	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Portugal	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	165	38.2%63 W · 102 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Portugal	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	408	48.8%199 W · 209 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafe8…93aebacked Portugal	8c	1,210$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.81	47	19.1%9 W · 38 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x813b…e606backed Portugal	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	24.4%10 W · 31 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Portugal	7c	1,106$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.37	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Portugal	5c	1,105$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	306	7.8%24 W · 282 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe26a…955fbacked Portugal	8c	1,100$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	19cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Portugal	6c	1,007$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.36	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Portugal	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	549	17.9%98 W · 451 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6752…5977backed Portugal	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-70.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Portugal	7c	999.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	100	26%26 W · 74 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Portugal	2c	981.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.14	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Portugal	8c	811.84$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.95	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4709backed Portugal	9c	777.78$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	59	22%13 W · 46 L	-6.0wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8dc7…f23cbacked Portugal	7c	744.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Portugal	7c	717.32$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.21	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Portugal	8c	648.96$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.7	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Portugal	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	285	35.8%102 W · 183 L	-11.1wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Portugal	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	92	19.6%18 W · 74 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x306d…d9c8backed Portugal	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x559a…ff2cbacked Portugal	7c	571.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf570…3550backed Portugal	3c	506.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked Portugal	8c	504$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.32	179	19%34 W · 145 L	+9.1wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ea7…ef55backed Portugal	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	78	32.1%25 W · 53 L	-7.1wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2463…e21bbacked Portugal	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	268	36.9%99 W · 169 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cc3…7c1bbacked Portugal	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Portugal	7c	499.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55a9…5e61backed Portugal	9c	493.44$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.41	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3143…3522backed Portugal	9c	482.33$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.41	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5fd…3348backed Portugal	8c	400$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+5.2wins	+0.19per pick	36cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Portugal	8c	365.88$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.27	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Portugal	7c	333$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.31	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5b…3772backed Portugal	7c	313.1$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	38	5.3%2 W · 36 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-78.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd95c…7dd1backed Portugal	8c	312.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71e7…f81cbacked Portugal	8c	312.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	93	10.8%10 W · 83 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c7…1bebbacked Portugal	8c	312.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4629…ab9abacked Portugal	8c	311.38$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.91	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Portugal	7c	300$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	1,005	44.3%445 W · 560 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc16…4531backed Portugal	7c	300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd469…cb79backed Portugal	8c	296.5$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.72	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Portugal	8c	279.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.7	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Portugal	8c	275$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	189	11.1%21 W · 168 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Portugal	11c	269$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.87	186	28.5%53 W · 133 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb788…28e4backed Portugal	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd1c…f4b1backed Portugal	8c	240.88$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.27	89	6.7%6 W · 83 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f20…139dbacked Portugal	9c	226.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.37	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6912…c24ebacked Portugal	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	131	25.2%33 W · 98 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Portugal	8c	216.96$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.06	719	39.1%281 W · 438 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Portugal	6c	204.13$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.92	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefb8…135cbacked Portugal	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Portugal	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	630	35.7%225 W · 405 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a52…c0e8backed Portugal	8c	200$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	46	15.2%7 W · 39 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Portugal	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	164	18.9%31 W · 133 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6408…c7aebacked Portugal	9c	199.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	61	36.1%22 W · 39 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Portugal	11c	187.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.09	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Portugal	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	373	23.1%86 W · 287 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7814…326cbacked Portugal	8c	162.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda42…f325backed Portugal	9c	150$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	59	28.8%17 W · 42 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4785…d83fbacked Portugal	8c	150$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Portugal	8c	138.75$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8034…d598backed Portugal	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.8wins	-0.22per pick	52cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c38…b11cbacked Portugal	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac0…037abacked Portugal	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Portugal	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	51	27.5%14 W · 37 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Portugal	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	130	21.5%28 W · 102 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ab…7d30backed Portugal	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	75	44%33 W · 42 L	+7.6wins	+0.10per pick	34cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf751…65ccbacked Portugal	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	99	49.5%49 W · 50 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)this page
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 5.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 6.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 7.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain won
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Portugal won
Spread: Spain (-2.5)Portugal won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Portugal won
Spread: Spain (-4.5)Portugal won
Spread: Spain (-5.5)Portugal won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event