TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a5b…3772

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT5016%8 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-54.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Brute - Map 2 Winnerbacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Charrados FC - Map 2 Winnerbacked Charrados FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Charrados FC - Map 1 Winnerbacked Charrados FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs bankaPEPSI - Map 1 Winnerbacked bankaPEPSI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.11
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Keyd (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.82
Counter-Strike: 8Sins vs Ursa - Map 2 Winnerbacked 8Sins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$124.88
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Bebop - Map 1 Winnerbacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$74.14
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16.08
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.27
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs 9z (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.95
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$46.38
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: TDK vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Play-Inbacked ENJOY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.49
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Monte vs illwill (BO3) - Copenhagen Gaming Week Showdown Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+150%+$24
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT385.3%2 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-78.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.32
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,207.62
Will Portugal score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.22
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.63
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 1 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+203%+$142.12
Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 1 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT323.1%1 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick10cpaid-64.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.9
LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.09
LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.83
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.04
LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.67
LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.88
LoL: SK Gaming vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
LoL: SK Gaming vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.69
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.33
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.99
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+1,049.3%+$409.03
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will G2 Esports win First Stand 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will JD Gaming win First Stand 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.73
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick9cpaid+66.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.33
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.29
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.72
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+375.5%+$71.53
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.8
Sporting CP leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+252.6%+$67.87
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$186.03
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.36
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Tottenham Hotspur reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.99
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.06
Will Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$23.19
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+809.1%+$356.32
All 19 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid+41.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.09
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.62
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.97
Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$45
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$103.52
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$127.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 10–20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.36
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$235
Will André Ventura win the second round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 0–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$731Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$730.82
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$207.4
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$862Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$862.1
Will António José Seguro win 3rd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$79
All 8 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-69.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+71.8%+$58.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.