Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f4b9a6929f413ce1dc459f821f85af49e49d4269e2a06aff81f4647d462c665
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,666 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 2,309$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.55 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Over | 69c | 2,269$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.25 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 1,818$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.12 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 70c | 505$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 71c | 464.79$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.79 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…7300backed Over | 64c | 446.78$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 30c | 357$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 31c | 334.27$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 30c | 319.84$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 69c | 291.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.84 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…3772backed Under | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Over | 77c | 257.21$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 61c | 227.12$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.58 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 35c | 195.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 56c | 185.37$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked Over | 68c | 183.2$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 73c | 178.08$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 68c | 176.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…c65dbacked Over | 68c | 172.14$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 37c | 156.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 104$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Under | 34c | 97.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…d88fbacked Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Under | 34c | 69.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 29c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 69c | 55.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…169bbacked Over | 70c | 51.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 61c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…c851backed Under | 34c | 40.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…e338backed Under | 34c | 40.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…5be2backed Under | 34c | 40.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 37c | 40.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…18eebacked Under | 35c | 39.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…c7adbacked Under | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…d1e8backed Over | 62c | 27.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6358…e625backed Under | 40c | 26.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…e4f4backed Over | 70c | 21.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.