Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6b4d0c19361165c89f3f5e0c45674b5de6839b39ba2d25879f58f615f7820e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sport Lisboa e Benficaof Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Vitória SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,988 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 80c | 303.61$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Vitória SC | 35c | 260.36$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 62c | 162.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f23…075fbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 53c | 132.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Vitória SC | 44c | 127.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Vitória SC | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Vitória SC | 47c | 99.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…4fa8backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 61c | 82.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Vitória SC | 36c | 60.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vitória SC | 45c | 58.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 55c | 49.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Vitória SC | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…700bbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Vitória SC | 48c | 36.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Vitória SC | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Vitória SC | 50c | 29.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 52c | 29.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 60c | 28.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 50c | 27.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…71bfbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Vitória SC | 41c | 25.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 74c | 17.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)this page
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.