TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa743…7300

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT8644.2%38 W · 48 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.62
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.38
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Acend - Map 1 Winnerbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$255.82
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$83.29
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.57
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs JiJieHao (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Cbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$86.29
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs OG (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Cbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88.68
Counter-Strike: BIG vs JiJieHao (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Cbacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$34.2
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Partizan Esport (BO1) - DraculaN Group Bbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Wildcard (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Abacked Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$149.81
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sangal (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Abacked Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Wildcard (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Abacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+114.7%+$114.17
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.86
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.69
Counter-Strike: rottweilers vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Group Abacked rottweilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$85.35
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Journey Group Dbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+207%+$206.97
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs ReThink - Map 1 Winnerbacked ReThink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.88
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Off Site (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Play-In Play-Inbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Monte (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$183
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Tricked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.95
Counter-Strike: Monte vs 9INE (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+238.3%+$190.64
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.8
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs OG (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Group Dbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$74.31
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.73
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.71
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$39.2
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+257.1%+$38.57
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.12
Will AZ win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$65.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$135.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$118.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Capitalsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$159.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$103.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Czechia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.