NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e41a261926d080f28f6af0e105ec5c9990bb50a74165c9356c540f9b06eca09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Bruins, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $518,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $518,455 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 594 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Bruins | 46c | 65,085$29,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,252.96 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Bruins | 56c | 62,705$35,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,428.11 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Capitals | 54c | 62,326$33,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,653.44 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 46c | 60,796$28,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,205.52 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bruins | 46c | 47,521$21,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,669.22 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Bruins | 46c | 20,147$9,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,879.39 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Bruins | 55c | 20,143$11,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,038.37 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Capitals | 56c | 14,334$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Capitals | 54c | 12,053$6,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,508.59 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Capitals | 44c | 11,377$4,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,987.45 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Bruins | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,869.57 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bruins | 45c | 9,069$4,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,956.43 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Capitals | 63c | 7,110$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 48c | 6,493$3,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,140.03 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Capitals | 54c | 5,380$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,905 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Capitals | 51c | 5,196$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,627.11 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bruins | 44c | 5,137$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870.95 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed Capitals | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 2cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Capitals | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…a4a1backed Capitals | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Capitals | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 1cpaid | +4,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Capitals | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.91 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 54c | 4,554$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.51 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Bruins | 44c | 4,444$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466.35 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 58c | 4,188$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.48 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Capitals | 42c | 4,167$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.79 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Capitals | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Capitals | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Capitals | 1c | 4,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Capitals | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Capitals | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.81 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Bruins | 47c | 3,682$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.12 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Capitals | 54c | 3,670$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.03 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Capitals | 54c | 3,590$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.29 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e6…9adcbacked Capitals | 55c | 3,518$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bruins | 46c | 3,294$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.7 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bruins | 46c | 3,179$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.91 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Capitals | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.98 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Bruins | 31c | 2,916$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.12 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Bruins | 19c | 2,593$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.46 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Capitals | 54c | 2,555$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.7 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…544abacked Capitals | 1c | 2,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Capitals | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bruins | 47c | 2,487$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.15 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Bruins | 47c | 2,456$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.6 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Capitals | 55c | 2,306$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.5 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Bruins | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Bruins | 46c | 2,221$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.23 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…88acbacked Capitals | 54c | 2,189$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Capitals | 53c | 2,104$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.98 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Bruins | 58c | 2,090$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.52 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bruins | 59c | 2,088$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.47 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Capitals | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…d0fabacked Capitals | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 3cpaid | +723.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Capitals | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bruins | 45c | 1,972$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.36 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd6…ff34backed Bruins | 39c | 1,936$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.99 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Bruins | 44c | 1,858$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.06 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Capitals | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.6 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb3…5ceabacked Bruins | 45c | 1,566$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Capitals | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…2839backed Capitals | 52c | 1,458$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Bruins | 42c | 1,358$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.62 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Capitals | 48c | 1,352$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.78 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Bruins | 48c | 1,269$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.04 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Capitals | 53c | 1,213$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.64 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Bruins | 49c | 1,203$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd10b…5ef6backed Bruins | 46c | 1,194$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…3deebacked Bruins | 46c | 1,178$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d1…9854backed Bruins | 46c | 1,145$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Bruins | 51c | 1,125$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.03 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Capitals | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10c4…efd9backed Capitals | 54c | 1,102$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Bruins | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf50…6603backed Bruins | 46c | 1,094$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Capitals | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bruins | 43c | 1,019$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.76 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Capitals | 55c | 1,000$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…ec5dbacked Bruins | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed Capitals | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Capitals | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b68…84f6backed Capitals | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…ab25backed Capitals | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…1fb4backed Bruins | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Capitals | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…d4a9backed Bruins | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…34a2backed Capitals | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Capitals | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…b22bbacked Capitals | 54c | 998.15$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab25…55ffbacked Capitals | 55c | 985.31$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Capitals | 54c | 974.88$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.69 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Capitals | 49c | 970.07$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.4 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Bruins | 35c | 960.35$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.32 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Bruins | 45c | 960$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea1…186cbacked Capitals | 55c | 956.52$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9f…2fbbbacked Bruins | 46c | 956.52$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.52 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Bruins | 46c | 930$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.2 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Capitals | 68c | 891.76$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.36 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…df85backed Bruins | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Capitals | 44c | 833.11$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.33 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Capitalsthis page
- Bruins vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Capitals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.