NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ad432a060d97acd5f7edfabd54b8694ea327d471a045318e426a96e37bc69de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,929,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,929,432 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 46c | 569,898$261,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261,582.87 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Under | 54c | 384,682$207,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176,953.92 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 46c | 200,000$92,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,999.89 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 54c | 99,360$53,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,705.7 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 74,963$40,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,340.97 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 54c | 69,999$37,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,199.54 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 54c | 58,863$31,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,076.84 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 44c | 40,000$17,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,699.98 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 55c | 35,957$19,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,093.61 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 54c | 30,000$16,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,950 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Under | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 57c | 23,660$13,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,175.22 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 53c | 20,834$11,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,711.84 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Over | 47c | 18,000$8,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,460 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 43c | 16,324$7,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,019.46 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 54c | 14,815$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,814.81 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 55c | 13,745$7,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,185.45 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 54c | 11,000$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,060 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 46c | 9,869$4,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,539.74 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.95 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 54c | 8,000$4,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,655 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 54c | 6,485$3,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.29 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 5,458$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.53 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 4,507$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.93 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 55c | 3,704$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.01 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 3,478$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.36 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 61c | 3,337$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.01 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 54c | 3,333$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.18 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 43c | 2,555$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.52 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 54c | 1,962$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.52 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 54c | 1,725$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.85 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 56c | 1,559$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.75 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Under | 55c | 1,499$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.55 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.89 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 55c | 1,308$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.6 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 57c | 1,136$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.34 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Under | 54c | 1,023$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.58 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 54c | 972$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.12 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 33c | 803.88$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.4 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 55c | 733.25$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.09 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 46c | 727.37$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.06 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 55c | 719.37$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.17 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 54c | 667.39$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.29 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 56c | 632.98$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.14 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 57c | 566.92$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.71 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Under | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e87…4891backed Over | 46c | 444.49$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.46 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 43c | 420.27$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.72 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 45c | 412.2$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.16 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 57c | 360.69$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.49 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 47c | 339.01$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.62 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 46c | 305.25$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983e…c5cebacked Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…b945backed Over | 31c | 293.2$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d6…04a8backed Over | 46c | 282.15$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 55c | 272.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.91 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Over | 47c | 248.61$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.09 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…81f7backed Over | 47c | 235.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.39 | 276 | 52.2%144 W · 132 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 63c | 229.68$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.94 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 44c | 223.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.73 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Over | 45c | 221.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 55c | 202.39$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef1…352ebacked Under | 55c | 193.67$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 54c | 183.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.19 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 46c | 182.96$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 221 | 51.1%113 W · 108 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 55c | 181.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 46c | 174.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 57c | 173.82$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…f800backed Over | 47c | 172.01$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under | 54c | 164.4$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 47c | 162.95$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 45c | 159.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Under | 56c | 159$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…0b7abacked Under | 54c | 149.44$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Over | 47c | 146$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Under | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…6763backed Over | 47c | 142.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ce…d766backed Over | 46c | 138.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Over | 45c | 133.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 54c | 133.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Under | 53c | 122.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5this page
- Bruins vs. CapitalsBruins won
- Bruins vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Capitals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.