NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea5d8e358a588baeca6959fc8a9264088189dae026a24d90a0d816602db95cb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,950 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Under | 45c | 101,375$45,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,762.47 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 55c | 76,926$42,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,309.23 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 52c | 45,000$23,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,500 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 12,637$6,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,335.67 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed Over | 56c | 11,400$6,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,384 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 8,388$4,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,197.44 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 50c | 5,970$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.52 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 53c | 1,550$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 55c | 1,320$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.58 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over | 52c | 1,200$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.71 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,113$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.44 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 45c | 1,095$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.81 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Over | 55c | 903.71$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 55c | 818.14$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.99 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 490.65$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.18 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 53c | 441.05$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.79 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 41c | 312.25$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.23 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 52c | 269.71$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.85 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Over | 53c | 264.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Over | 57c | 262$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.34 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 55c | 234.37$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 42c | 227.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.21 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Under | 46c | 215.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 53c | 197.32$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over | 55c | 181.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 53c | 179.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.39 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Over | 55c | 177.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 44c | 160$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 55c | 147.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.44 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…b945backed Over | 37c | 135.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d6…04a8backed Over | 53c | 123.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Under | 45c | 121.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 45c | 107.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.12 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 43c | 100.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -67%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Under | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Under | 45c | 87.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 48c | 85.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 59c | 84.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Over | 58c | 81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…3415backed Under | 48c | 77.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 55c | 76.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 58c | 68.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 48c | 67.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Over | 55c | 66.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 58c | 64.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Over | 51c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 62c | 60.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Over | 55c | 58.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Over | 50c | 55.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…21e8backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41c0…9d61backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 58c | 54.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…70a9backed Over | 58c | 46.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…3fe7backed Over | 55c | 43.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 52c | 41.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Over | 53c | 40.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…c9aabacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Over | 55c | 38.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Over | 55c | 34.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 54c | 34.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 58c | 33.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 58c | 32.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Over | 56c | 32.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…5a44backed Over | 54c | 32.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ce…d766backed Over | 53c | 31.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Under | 52c | 31.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…89d8backed Over | 58c | 31.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x378b…4c2cbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 51c | 28.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa3…6e41backed Over | 57c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 45c | 27.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Over | 54c | 27.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Over | 55c | 26.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 54c | 24.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Over | 52c | 23.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 481 | 57.2%275 W · 206 L | +21.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 73c | 20.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5this page
- Bruins vs. CapitalsBruins won
- Bruins vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Capitals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.