TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Bruins vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,950

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,950 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Under45c101,375$45,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,762.4719848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over55c76,926$42,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,309.2340351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over52c45,000$23,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,5005050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under44c15,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4001,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c12,637$6,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,335.6762951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed Over56c11,400$6,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,3842147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c8,388$4,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,197.441,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under50c5,970$2,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,986.5217057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over56c3,571$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016843.5%73 W · 95 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over53c1,550$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8252646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under55c1,320$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.581,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over52c1,200$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.718060%48 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c1,113$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.442,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over45c1,095$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.8114140.4%57 W · 84 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Over55c903.71$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over55c818.14$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.9912653.2%67 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3308752.9%46 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under51c490.65$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.183,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over53c441.05$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.793339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under46c326.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0919844.9%89 W · 109 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under41c312.25$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.2383149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Over55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652552%13 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Over52c269.71$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.852437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Over53c264.61$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.671040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Over57c262$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.343253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over55c234.37$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12829448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under42c227.96$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.212,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb3c…b4f5backed Under46c215.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.284652.2%24 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over53c197.32$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2528549.1%140 W · 145 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over55c181.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over53c179.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3914853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005048%24 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Over55c177.64$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.73145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under44c160$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.684953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Over55c147.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.442751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf639…b945backed Over37c135.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d6…04a8backed Over53c123.39$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8160%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Under45c121.91$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.744833.3%16 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.265721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under45c107.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.122,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under43c100.11$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.922,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5562447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.0wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-67%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Under45c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.55352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Under45c87.98$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.393141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under48c85.24$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9821856.4%123 W · 95 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under59c84.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7937857.4%217 W · 161 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Over58c81$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.986855.9%38 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x686e…3415backed Under48c77.71$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.41728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over55c76.92$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3119356%108 W · 85 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over58c68.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.549545.3%43 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under48c67.53$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0492049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Over55c66.13$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.251747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under58c64.97$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.971,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Over51c61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.175959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under62c60.56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8482043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Over57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.229949.8%149 W · 150 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Over55c58.43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.962642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Over50c55.51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.766944.9%31 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x409b…21e8backed Over55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41c0…9d61backed Over55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over58c54.41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5612335%43 W · 80 L-12.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010447.1%49 W · 55 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.57354.8%40 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f95…70a9backed Over58c46.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.834751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf35…3fe7backed Over55c43.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.12825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-49%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over52c41.02$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.28138.3%31 W · 50 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed Over53c40.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3811350.4%57 W · 56 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe647…c9aabacked Over51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.43650%18 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.227250%136 W · 136 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Over55c38.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1512947.3%61 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b20…62cbbacked Over55c34.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.951741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc53…6bd3backed Over58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054049.4%267 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over54c34.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.581,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over58c33.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3142558.6%249 W · 176 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Over58c32.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.136245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Over56c32.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4514351.7%74 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe906…5a44backed Over54c32.59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.531225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10ce…d766backed Over53c31.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Under52c31.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.094443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fbc…89d8backed Over58c31.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.05650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x378b…4c2cbacked Over44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Under51c28.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.088653.5%46 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa3…6e41backed Over57c28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under45c27.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1835553%188 W · 167 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeac9…4092backed Over54c27.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.765349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Over55c26.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.582240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over54c24.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1859450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Over52c23.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1248157.2%275 W · 206 L+21.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Over53c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.623040%12 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under73c20.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.511,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27c5…0d4cbacked Over55c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.451656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.