TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f95…70a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
200
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT6165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.97
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.77
Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.75
Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.61
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$9.73
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$5.96
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12.46
Spread: Nuggets (-15.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.74
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.15
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$9.88
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.05
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.49
Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$27.95
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Spread: Bulls (-6.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.27
Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12.86
Spread: Heat (-4.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$24.76
Spread: Celtics (-20.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$16.55
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.28
Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.9
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT4751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Canucks vs. Flamesbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.78
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.46
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.44
Wild vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$8.77
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Penguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$39.1
Flames vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.18
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$11.69
Sharks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Bruins vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.83
Flyers vs. Wildbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+198.2%+$55.5
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$65.15
Blues vs. Hurricanesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+234.4%+$117.22
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$5.54
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.64
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.38
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.19
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.59
Predators vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.12
Ducks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.94
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.99
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$21.33
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$20.28
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.81
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.42
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$53.9
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$28.57
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.65
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18.52
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.38
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-8.5)backed Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.5
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 158.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$12.24
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$15.93
Baylor Bears vs. UCF Knightsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$76.04
Texas Longhorns vs. Texas A&M Aggiesbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.99
Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Western Michigan Broncosbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+78.6%+$7.98
Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Southeastern Louisiana Lions vs. East Texas A&M Lionsbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$48.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$69.22
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.33
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35%+$10.04
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$7.97
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.94
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39.88
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+62.1%+$23.01
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$35.61
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30.22
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+35.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$6.17
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$13.58
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$18.5
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$11.69
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$11.95
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+212.5%+$34.3
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.81
All 8 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Bolaji Oki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Manoel Sousa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.52
UFC Fight Night: Sam Hughes vs. Piera Rodriguez (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Piera Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.64
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.8
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$83.33
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$28.55
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cody Garbrandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+150.1%+$60.81
UFC 326: Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Rafael Tobias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$46.17
All 7 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+19.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-57.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$78.69
Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$35.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+334.8%+$49.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+122.2%+$209.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Martin Damm vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$33.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$46.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.