TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,065

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,065 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xada5…c2a4backed Timberwolves56c17,500$9,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,7754337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Jazz45c14,560$6,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,510.281,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Timberwolves57c5,011$2,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.7629055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves57c3,379$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.621,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed Jazz43c2,631$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.347356.2%41 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz45c2,372$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.149,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves51c2,311$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.698,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Jazz45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Jazz45c1,991$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.0823147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz43c1,198$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.632,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Jazz43c1,008$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.624151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Timberwolves50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50018651.6%96 W · 90 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Timberwolves57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves56c999.99$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.853,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz43c989.4$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.614,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Jazz43c974$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.8254246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Jazz43c929.78$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.8126034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz43c865.91$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.344,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Jazz54c699.98$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.992343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves57c691$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.136,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Jazz43c650.7$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.817953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves49c622.83$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.22,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe2b…8fe6backed Jazz46c483.43$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.026261.3%38 W · 24 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Jazz45c453.29$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9822154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Timberwolves58c401.72$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7247651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Timberwolves57c397.19$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7926755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Jazz45c314$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.345646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves54c273.57$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.554,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Jazz43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Jazz42c222.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6621349.3%105 W · 108 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Timberwolves54c220.99$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.661,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Jazz46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923534.3%12 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Jazz55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Jazz45c157$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Timberwolves57c155.72$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9616162.7%101 W · 60 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Jazz49c149.9$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7542153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Timberwolves58c119.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.425340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz52c111.88$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.344,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Jazz43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4310144.6%45 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Timberwolves56c99.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4459650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Jazz51c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0229645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6221…44edbacked Jazz44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Timberwolves58c79.76$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.514466%95 W · 49 L+17.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Timberwolves57c78.96$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9591746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Jazz45c78.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3334047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Jazz45c78.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3357250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Jazz46c77.91$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8418143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Jazz45c73.09$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8944747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e87…20cabacked Jazz47c71.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.43933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves50c69.23$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.381,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc6b…e84bbacked Timberwolves48c68.4$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.571758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Jazz44c66.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0787750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6420…254abacked Jazz44c63.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.821145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jazz31c62.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.351,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Jazz45c58.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0951438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe48b…1f07backed Timberwolves55c53.45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.051442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Jazz45c52.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6711748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz41c50.21$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.595,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Timberwolves54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2353339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Jazz43c49.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.423,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Jazz47c49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9838252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd815…1cdebacked Jazz45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208456%47 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0435…cf1dbacked Timberwolves52c41.66$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2016947.3%80 W · 89 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9108…cf47backed Jazz48c41.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205046%23 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Timberwolves47c38.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.061,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Jazz42c36.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2729344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3750…baa0backed Timberwolves55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf4f…63f3backed Timberwolves58c34.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3422746.3%105 W · 122 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7307…b257backed Timberwolves59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.95246.2%24 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc681…08a2backed Jazz44c32.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.35450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Jazz43c31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3368940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Timberwolves54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.825138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Timberwolves45c29.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.171,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Jazz45c25.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6220847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Jazz45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.151,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fbc…89d8backed Timberwolves58c23.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.772857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f95…70a9backed Timberwolves58c23.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.736165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe7d9…bad0backed Timberwolves56c21.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.436864.7%44 W · 24 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Timberwolves57c17.55$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5597049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.