NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed5c50590333e987658d35eaf035933372d59b4b542a94d86f0113bd4dc08bd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,537 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 51c | 9,883$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040.05 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 6,939$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,538.78 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 6,829$3,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,619.62 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 5,330$2,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.34 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 4,332$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.65 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…1518backed Over | 48c | 4,253$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 3,921$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.76 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd1…ef5ebacked Over | 49c | 2,989$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x820d…669fbacked Over | 49c | 2,915$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…79cfbacked Under | 51c | 2,879$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa262…df92backed Under | 51c | 2,845$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3320…de3dbacked Over | 49c | 2,832$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…2aefbacked Under | 51c | 2,807$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…9be0backed Under | 51c | 2,796$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc569…7662backed Under | 51c | 2,668$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…4700backed Over | 49c | 2,614$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c9…f2dbbacked Over | 49c | 2,605$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…fc02backed Over | 49c | 2,598$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…41e3backed Under | 51c | 2,558$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…a213backed Under | 53c | 1,790$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Over | 49c | 1,751$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.44 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…d9f7backed Under | 52c | 1,711$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 1,472$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.53 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…eed7backed Over | 48c | 1,383$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.16 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 51c | 1,056$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.81 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 771.29$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6da…14c1backed Under | 53c | 752.38$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 48c | 691.99$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.84 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under | 53c | 620.4$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.61 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Under | 51c | 603.75$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.91 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 49c | 571.43$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.43 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 469.62$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.9 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 408$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.12 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 354.53$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.94 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 53c | 245.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Under | 52c | 207.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 51c | 184.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…ef8dbacked Over | 49c | 173$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 160$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 49c | 142.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a2…8e3abacked Over | 48c | 137.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…30ddbacked Under | 53c | 93.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 53c | 87.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 51c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 62.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e81…807cbacked Under | 52c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 52c | 61.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 49c | 61.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61b5…bcc0backed Under | 52c | 61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…5736backed Under | 52c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0b…2361backed Under | 52c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 51.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 47c | 50.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 38c | 47.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a04…c277backed Under | 52c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Over | 48c | 41.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257b…c08bbacked Under | 53c | 30.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1078…2a62backed Under | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Under | 53c | 19.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Cody Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Cody Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Jazz vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Over won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.