NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bf354a73999fd8a8666bb14bbd939cc409eba78ab4fa7ea8b03e674ed56a769

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $63,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,968 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	48c	5,349$2,568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,780.64	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	52c	4,482$2,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,327.55	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x956c…b008backed Over	48c	2,993$1,437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,556.36	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7d7…c515backed Under	52c	2,975$1,547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,547	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e27…61cdbacked Over	48c	2,974$1,428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,546.48	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49e5…22d8backed Over	48c	2,958$1,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,538.16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8516…e840backed Under	52c	2,956$1,537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,537.12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60ff…af6fbacked Over	48c	2,946$1,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,531.92	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x281d…61eebacked Over	48c	2,889$1,387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,502.28	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba3c…6187backed Over	48c	2,884$1,384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,499.68	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b1f…924dbacked Under	52c	2,873$1,494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,493.96	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x474f…939dbacked Over	48c	2,859$1,372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,486.68	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3dd…d72dbacked Under	52c	2,850$1,482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,482	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03d7…1ffebacked Under	52c	2,848$1,481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,480.96	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x353a…eeb5backed Under	52c	2,817$1,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,464.84	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1c3…d3cdbacked Over	48c	2,817$1,352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,464.84	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3cc…9308backed Over	48c	2,789$1,339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,450.28	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b8…09f9backed Under	52c	2,789$1,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,450.28	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9183…cd9dbacked Under	52c	2,771$1,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440.92	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d22…86c3backed Under	52c	2,758$1,434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,434.16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24c9…73b9backed Under	52c	2,703$1,406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,405.56	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e10…3f06backed Under	52c	2,698$1,403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,402.96	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf995…c85fbacked Under	52c	2,680$1,394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,393.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90a4…3bc2backed Under	52c	2,672$1,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,389.44	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7725…9a27backed Under	52c	2,640$1,373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,372.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3327…e637backed Under	52c	2,601$1,353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,352.52	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f6d…e842backed Under	52c	2,598$1,351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350.96	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6495…e31dbacked Over	48c	2,586$1,241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,344.72	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff05…0d1cbacked Over	48c	2,579$1,238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,341.08	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf4…1445backed Over	48c	2,562$1,230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,332.24	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0942…b7d0backed Over	48c	2,555$1,226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,328.6	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ba1…2b61backed Over	48c	2,543$1,221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,322.36	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x373b…995bbacked Over	48c	2,537$1,218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,319.24	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63a3…ead2backed Over	48c	2,524$1,212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,312.48	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c3b…a587backed Over	48c	2,516$1,208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,308.32	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c1b…f5d3backed Over	48c	2,509$1,204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,304.68	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf40…7c48backed Under	52c	2,421$1,259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,258.92	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48ef…f6bdbacked Under	52c	2,370$1,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,232.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	52c	1,131$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.13	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over	49c	1,020$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.41	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	53c	1,000$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under	54c	925.93$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	47c	675.51$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.75	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over	48c	583.33$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.33	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	47c	447.76$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.48	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Over	47c	440.7$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.57	93	52.7%49 W · 44 L	+6.5wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e12…b916backed Over	66c	304.53$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.53	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	56c	265$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.8	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under	56c	250$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	521	46.6%243 W · 278 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	44c	218.84$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.46	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	74c	200.83$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.4	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under	35c	200$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	531	49.3%262 W · 269 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under	56c	178.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	434	47.5%206 W · 228 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over	71c	141.21$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.6	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under	17c	108.71$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.31	260	34.6%90 W · 170 L	-20.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	533	39.6%211 W · 322 L	-39.9wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Over	48c	96.15$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.2	203	50.2%102 W · 101 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under	55c	91.07$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.09	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Over	48c	83.32$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.33	203	52.2%106 W · 97 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under	25c	65.44$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.22	514	38.7%199 W · 315 L	-29.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54df…51fabacked Over	47c	63.83$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.83	149	63.1%94 W · 55 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over	76c	63.59$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.02	263	37.3%98 W · 165 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under	53c	61.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.85	689	40.2%277 W · 412 L	-54.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	47c	60.54$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.09	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Over	46c	45.04$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.32	178	48.3%86 W · 92 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over	47c	40$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.2	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over	80c	36.26$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.28	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4378…5bb8backed Over	47c	31.91$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.91	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under	52c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	251	38.6%97 W · 154 L	-11.4wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under	53c	22.13$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.73	969	56.3%546 W · 423 L	+26.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5this page
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
Ace Bailey: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Cody Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
Cody Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Jazz vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Over won
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Over won
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Over won
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Over won
Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Naz Reid: Points O/U 15.5No won
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)Timberwolves won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event