TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$237,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,929 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over51c150,000$75,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,117.132653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under50c80,000$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,00043148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under49c25,000$12,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,2501,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over50c22,851$11,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,425.717250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c20,034$9,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,913.324,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c19,022$9,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,341.259,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over50c17,000$8,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,44058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under49c15,230$7,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,462.6952460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under48c12,000$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7605030%15 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Under49c10,100$4,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,94928554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c8,963$4,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,461.681,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c7,500$3,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6752,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c6,399$3,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,133.436,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over50c6,040$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,02014245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c3,850$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.234,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c2,500$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.78,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Under51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012740.2%51 W · 76 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c1,809$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.353,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c1,757$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.054,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c1,510$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.122,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c1,143$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.072,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3915952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c954.59$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.843,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under47c772$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.8447354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c641.94$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.751,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under49c571.43$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under49c530.61$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26089048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over52c496.15$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.1547651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Over54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.969558.9%56 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Under49c438.2$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.7222154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c403.86$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.52,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c289.04$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.632,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over55c250$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.941,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbffd…38f6backed Under48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c196$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.25,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under49c166.24$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.461,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8623657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over50c151$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9928243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under47c150.15$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.571,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over50c130$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6559650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e3…2e82backed Over54c111.7$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.73345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under49c102.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.297049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Under49c102$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9814144.7%63 W · 78 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010144.6%45 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c98.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under47c77.13$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2555444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Under48c62.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0410947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.467248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abc…b096backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011243.8%49 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under48c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.525138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under32c55.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.71,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514144.7%63 W · 78 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over51c47.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.371,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7239…4389backed Under48c44.88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5443750.1%219 W · 218 L-1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.245,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under49c41.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.450948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Under51c41.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1420847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2034556.2%194 W · 151 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d12…37d5backed Over51c39.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.215650%28 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b8…a279backed Under51c39.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.925242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x534a…023abacked Under51c36.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.685044%22 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x084c…7544backed Over52c35.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.119345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over50c23.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under49c21.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.514355.2%79 W · 64 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9786…b15cbacked Over53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.47652.6%40 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3a6…6e3fbacked Over52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.820558.5%120 W · 85 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.687049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.