TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Timberwolves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof Jazz, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$695,477

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $695,477 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99e4…e4c4backed Jazz3c41,990$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.414663.7%93 W · 53 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Jazz13c34,356$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.5441832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz13c26,485$3,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,417.781,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Jazz13c24,794$3,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,223.1743542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Jazz4c21,453$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.6128241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Jazz15c15,330$2,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.011,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Jazz13c13,800$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.421,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz13c11,651$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.574,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Jazz2c10,300$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.950241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz12c10,299$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.529,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz13c10,100$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3131,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz13c10,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.9747028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Jazz13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.9546928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Jazz13c9,858$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.537448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4870…85f7backed Jazz14c8,500$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1904445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jazz10c8,158$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.221,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Jazz8c7,120$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.71,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz8c6,989$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.098,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Jazz0c6,050$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.58820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Jazz2c6,024$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9467911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz14c5,758$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.364,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jazz6c5,050$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.531,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz10c4,717$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.662,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jazz13c4,285$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.893,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz14c4,143$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…0f2bbacked Jazz13c4,098$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.736440.6%26 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Jazz13c4,089$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.6229250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Jazz12c3,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9886641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Jazz15c3,298$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.2626353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Jazz6c3,278$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.4436023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Jazz13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Jazz12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9965939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jazz13c2,868$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.233,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz14c2,836$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.042,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Jazz12c2,800$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9943438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ba4…fd40backed Jazz14c2,668$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.526628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Jazz5c2,652$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.351,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Jazz1c2,561$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.157211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz6c2,496$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.384,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Jazz10c2,458$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.9942335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz13c2,240$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.172,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Jazz13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26020048%96 W · 104 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Jazz13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26035547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Jazz13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26039349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80f0…1ebebacked Jazz14c1,786$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012149.6%60 W · 61 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Jazz12c1,750$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.526034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Jazz6c1,742$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.151,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bbd…1ec9backed Jazz14c1,600$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2242931%9 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Jazz15c1,459$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.8256646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Jazz12c1,265$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.8526247.7%125 W · 137 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Jazz13c1,100$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14326530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Jazz14c1,076$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.652,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…e17dbacked Jazz17c1,075$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Jazz14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017532%56 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb1…4394backed Jazz17c1,024$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jazz13c1,004$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.461,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Jazz13c1,003$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2861336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f85…bd8cbacked Jazz13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13012957.4%74 W · 55 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64ba…b7bfbacked Jazz13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2790…2233backed Jazz14c1,000$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13519735%69 W · 128 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Jazz14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c9c…6824backed Jazz12c999.94$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.994429.5%13 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Jazz14c942.86$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13223539.1%92 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x714b…c300backed Jazz17c930$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x692e…ee58backed Jazz10c903.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3517428.2%49 W · 125 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Jazz14c893$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5977549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Jazz11c882$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.227532%24 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e6d…2b09backed Jazz13c869.23$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11214139%55 W · 86 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Jazz13c861.54$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11236949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Jazz13c774$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.261939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Jazz7c772.52$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0821137.9%80 W · 131 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Jazz14c677$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7869929.8%208 W · 491 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Jazz13c672.31$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.458450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Jazz14c671.43$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9420537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Jazz14c649.1$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.071,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe3f…abe7backed Jazz13c624.61$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80140%0 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Jazz12c600$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7268944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed Jazz13c593.59$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1732330.7%99 W · 224 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Jazz14c592.16$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2625226.6%67 W · 185 L-26.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3316…b6a4backed Jazz13c560$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.82352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Jazz19c540$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.628245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc62a…a8efbacked Jazz13c538.46$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7014032.9%46 W · 94 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3871…2a0cbacked Jazz4c512.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203221.9%7 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Jazz13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Jazz13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6562539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Jazz14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb797…4f61backed Jazz14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.216535.4%23 W · 42 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Jazz14c499.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6855316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Jazz13c474.29$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7942153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4a6…6d23backed Jazz13c464.8$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4220047.5%95 W · 105 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Jazz14c463.7$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9210718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick18cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Jazz12c448.24$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9624841.1%102 W · 146 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Jazz17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6854838%208 W · 340 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Jazz13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Jazz11c380$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4746940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz4c361$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.641,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Jazz14c350$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4968542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Jazz9c322.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9117844.4%79 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Jazz12c322$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6423651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Jazz13c309.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1867248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.