TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,308
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,100

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,308 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20d6…3856backed Timberwolves46c39,032$17,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,077.2439842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Jazz54c37,037$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00017251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Jazz53c13,883$7,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,357.813847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Timberwolves47c13,870$6,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,351.148352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz52c8,000$4,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1901,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves50c6,800$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Jazz53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12027546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz50c3,516$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7584,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Timberwolves47c3,181$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.8523052.6%121 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Timberwolves48c3,000$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.4869149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves47c2,646$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.154,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz52c2,507$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.544,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves46c1,911$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.61,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves48c1,546$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.89,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Timberwolves43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68418651.6%96 W · 90 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Timberwolves46c980.35$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.391,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves47c834$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.026,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz52c657.74$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.344,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Jazz53c501.49$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.7922154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Jazz47c499.95$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.9821349.3%105 W · 108 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves47c491.4$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.553,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Jazz51c385$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3528751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc143…b345backed Jazz54c352.8$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Jazz69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20043269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Timberwolves31c289.86$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20026034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves54c272.01$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.942,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Jazz54c246.46$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.099855.1%54 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Jazz54c235.22$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0221546.5%100 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Timberwolves47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7721748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x692e…ee58backed Jazz48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017428.2%49 W · 125 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb1…c109backed Jazz53c207.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Jazz54c204.17$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2517041.8%71 W · 99 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves49c197.12$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.418,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Jazz51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Jazz48c190.5$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1342153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Timberwolves47c187.21$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.21,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves49c168.57$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.251,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76fc…48fabacked Jazz54c158.02$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.331241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Timberwolves47c148.34$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6267248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves47c143.94$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.293,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Jazz52c135.05$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Jazz54c122.83$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3324147.7%115 W · 126 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Timberwolves47c114$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4262541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Jazz53c113.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.476552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Jazz53c105.66$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5668542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Timberwolves47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.553339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Timberwolves48c97.17$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5387453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Jazz54c92.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8126043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Jazz52c90$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.837549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Jazz48c83.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.282,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves49c80.6$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.943,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Jazz47c76.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.693,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Jazz52c76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.610144.6%45 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Jazz54c69.13$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.339345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Jazz53c66.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.351,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Timberwolves49c66.61$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9749247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jazz48c65.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.371,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Jazz54c64.54$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8522148%106 W · 115 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed Jazz54c61.37$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1411642.2%49 W · 67 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94b6…5f6ebacked Jazz54c54.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc59d…64adbacked Jazz54c54.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.451338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Jazz59c53.76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5229645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Jazz54c53.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7320049%98 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf151…24c7backed Jazz54c53.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.691643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Timberwolves46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c50…7f4bbacked Jazz54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Jazz51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514253.5%76 W · 66 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4168…a631backed Jazz51c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9912146.3%56 W · 65 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fbb…727fbacked Timberwolves47c48.89$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0814448.6%70 W · 74 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e2c…ee8cbacked Jazz54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7117…4339backed Jazz54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5264…54cebacked Jazz54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ef9…0e82backed Timberwolves49c46.24$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.581637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ec…8533backed Timberwolves49c41.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.981729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc667…0359backed Jazz54c40.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.121346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e5…8f91backed Timberwolves48c40.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.23650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbfb…e01fbacked Jazz50c39.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6f…f414backed Jazz53c38.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.626445.3%29 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b05…7b7dbacked Jazz54c38.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.73756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1315…cb3fbacked Jazz54c38.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.681361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Timberwolves53c37.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3551438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7fe…5a93backed Jazz54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9c7…184dbacked Jazz54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf33…4f09backed Jazz54c36.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.72254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48aa…2eeebacked Jazz54c35.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.239441.5%39 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Timberwolves51c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1788057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03e6…24e6backed Jazz54c34.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.899841.8%41 W · 57 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cf0…4fedbacked Jazz54c33.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa15…270ebacked Jazz54c32.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.33458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe523…c6afbacked Jazz54c31.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2215441.6%64 W · 90 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33d0…a2a2backed Timberwolves47c31.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.851442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Jazz52c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1268940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7bbd…7d08backed Timberwolves49c30.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3912257.4%70 W · 52 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Timberwolves48c30.05$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6320154.2%109 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Timberwolves46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.225138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Jazz54c29.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9234248.8%167 W · 175 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17dd…056abacked Jazz54c29.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.841241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5218…48d9backed Jazz54c27.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.72653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Timberwolves48c27.05$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0764844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.