NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88ac56ad99a4f0d5237d5190c506d4034bbb82dde92ebe4cd493e48378113b91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Timberwolves | 46c | 39,032$17,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,077.24 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Jazz | 54c | 37,037$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Jazz | 53c | 13,883$7,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,357.81 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 13,870$6,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,351.1 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz | 52c | 8,000$4,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,190 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 50c | 6,800$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Jazz | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz | 50c | 3,516$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 3,181$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.85 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Timberwolves | 48c | 3,000$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.48 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,646$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.15 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz | 52c | 2,507$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.54 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 46c | 1,911$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.6 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 1,546$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Timberwolves | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Timberwolves | 46c | 980.35$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.39 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 834$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.02 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz | 52c | 657.74$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.34 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Jazz | 53c | 501.49$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.79 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Jazz | 47c | 499.95$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.98 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves | 47c | 491.4$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.55 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Jazz | 51c | 385$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.35 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc143…b345backed Jazz | 54c | 352.8$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Jazz | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Timberwolves | 31c | 289.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 54c | 272.01$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.94 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Jazz | 54c | 246.46$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.09 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Jazz | 54c | 235.22$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.02 | 215 | 46.5%100 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Jazz | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb1…c109backed Jazz | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Jazz | 54c | 204.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 49c | 197.12$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Jazz | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Jazz | 48c | 190.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.13 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Timberwolves | 47c | 187.21$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves | 49c | 168.57$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Jazz | 54c | 158.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Timberwolves | 47c | 148.34$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves | 47c | 143.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Jazz | 52c | 135.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Jazz | 54c | 122.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Timberwolves | 47c | 114$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Jazz | 53c | 113.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Jazz | 53c | 105.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Timberwolves | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Timberwolves | 48c | 97.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Jazz | 54c | 92.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Jazz | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jazz | 48c | 83.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 49c | 80.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Jazz | 47c | 76.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Jazz | 52c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Jazz | 54c | 69.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Jazz | 53c | 66.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Timberwolves | 49c | 66.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jazz | 48c | 65.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Jazz | 54c | 64.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 221 | 48%106 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Jazz | 54c | 61.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94b6…5f6ebacked Jazz | 54c | 54.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc59d…64adbacked Jazz | 54c | 54.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Jazz | 59c | 53.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Jazz | 54c | 53.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf151…24c7backed Jazz | 54c | 53.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Timberwolves | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c50…7f4bbacked Jazz | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Jazz | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed Jazz | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 48.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…ee8cbacked Jazz | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7117…4339backed Jazz | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked Jazz | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef9…0e82backed Timberwolves | 49c | 46.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…8533backed Timberwolves | 49c | 41.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…0359backed Jazz | 54c | 40.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…8f91backed Timberwolves | 48c | 40.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfb…e01fbacked Jazz | 50c | 39.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…f414backed Jazz | 53c | 38.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…7b7dbacked Jazz | 54c | 38.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…cb3fbacked Jazz | 54c | 38.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Timberwolves | 53c | 37.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…5a93backed Jazz | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…184dbacked Jazz | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…4f09backed Jazz | 54c | 36.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…2eeebacked Jazz | 54c | 35.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…24e6backed Jazz | 54c | 34.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…4fedbacked Jazz | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa15…270ebacked Jazz | 54c | 32.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…c6afbacked Jazz | 54c | 31.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…a2a2backed Timberwolves | 47c | 31.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Jazz | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…7d08backed Timberwolves | 49c | 30.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Timberwolves | 48c | 30.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Timberwolves | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Jazz | 54c | 29.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17dd…056abacked Jazz | 54c | 29.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…48d9backed Jazz | 54c | 27.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 27.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Cody Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Cody Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Jazz vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Over won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.