TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x94b6…5f6e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT6050%30 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$122.89
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$50.31
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.39
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.25
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$25.78
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$96.75
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.77
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+123.3%+$76.6
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.08
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.13
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.21
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.47
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$47.78
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$54.31
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.62
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.11
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.82
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.92
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+138%+$78.14
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$26.97
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$14.23
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$42.82
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+139.5%+$115.6
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.05
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-17.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.24
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$152.02
Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$35.03
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$294.69
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$86.9
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.16
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.35
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$56.04
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$157.44
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+89%+$156.58
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.38
Spread: Wizards (-3.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.38
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+132.6%+$22.26
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$15.96
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.62
NEC vs. FC Volendam: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.