NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x114afbc7770e149bc69c926606c0d651405408252b90ed158e572ccbcfe66d5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,531,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,531,092 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Mavericks | 51c | 816,597$414,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414,003.79 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Hawks | 49c | 472,774$231,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241,114.85 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Hawks | 50c | 240,000$120,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,000 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hawks | 51c | 135,769$69,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,698.6 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks | 49c | 74,243$36,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,965.04 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Hawks | 49c | 72,034$35,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,737.34 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Mavericks | 51c | 64,443$32,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,865.81 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 50c | 51,476$25,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,775.02 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Mavericks | 51c | 18,000$9,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,179.88 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Mavericks | 49c | 17,691$8,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,745.71 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Mavericks | 51c | 16,000$8,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,150 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks | 49c | 12,545$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,344.86 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…1c0cbacked Hawks | 48c | 12,190$5,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,280.01 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mavericks | 51c | 10,300$5,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,253 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Hawks | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100.01 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mavericks | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Hawks | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.96 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Mavericks | 52c | 9,620$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,002.32 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Mavericks | 52c | 7,059$3,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,670.93 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Mavericks | 51c | 6,667$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Mavericks | 38c | 6,440$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.88 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 49c | 6,161$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,038.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…5a44backed Mavericks | 1c | 5,687$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Hawks | 49c | 5,068$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.68 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Mavericks | 52c | 4,927$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,562.3 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hawks | 50c | 4,168$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.94 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Hawks | 48c | 4,166$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.32 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Hawks | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Mavericks | 51c | 4,077$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Hawks | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.97 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Mavericks | 51c | 3,687$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Hawks | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks | 57c | 2,807$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.16 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Hawks | 60c | 2,642$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.92 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hawks | 50c | 2,584$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.48 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Hawks | 51c | 2,045$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.75 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Hawks | 50c | 1,988$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.95 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,870$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.26 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…cf6fbacked Hawks | 49c | 1,836$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.6 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…fccdbacked Mavericks | 45c | 1,603$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,348$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.16 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…a88dbacked Mavericks | 53c | 1,344$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.32 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Hawks | 49c | 1,304$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.11 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,260$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.7 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Hawks | 49c | 1,243$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.04 | 215 | 46.5%100 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Hawks | 49c | 1,154$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.54 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Hawks | 49c | 1,071$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.41 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…e532backed Hawks | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 67c | 1,002$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.99 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Hawks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Hawks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Mavericks | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Mavericks | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Mavericks | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Hawks | 50c | 994.95$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.62 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Mavericks | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Mavericks | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Mavericks | 52c | 915.73$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.56 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Hawks | 50c | 878$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Hawks | 49c | 848.41$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…d64fbacked Hawks | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Mavericks | 45c | 775.4$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.34 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Mavericks | 38c | 713.41$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.1 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Hawks | 48c | 694.04$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.24 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Hawks | 48c | 686.73$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.77 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Mavericks | 52c | 625$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Hawks | 48c | 624.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Mavericks | 51c | 600$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 236 | 48.7%115 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Hawks | 63c | 590.19$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.06 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Mavericks | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks | 54c | 576.62$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.25 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Mavericks | 49c | 549.25$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.13 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Hawks | 79c | 508.14$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.14 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e9…04adbacked Hawks | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…1845backed Mavericks | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…52b6backed Hawks | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Mavericks | 52c | 479$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.08 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Hawks | 48c | 475$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mavericks | 37c | 467.91$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.06 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Mavericks | 52c | 450$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Hawks | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Mavericks | 52c | 380.95$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.09 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Mavericks | 45c | 379.75$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.94 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Hawks | 49c | 375.53$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.52 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hawks | 69c | 361.08$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Hawks | 49c | 350.2$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.6 | 221 | 48%106 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…0a1dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Mavericks | 52c | 345.07$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.44 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd765…c72cbacked Mavericks | 51c | 340$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9843…84f2backed Hawks | 50c | 340$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Hawks | 49c | 338$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.38 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Hawks | 48c | 335.96$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.7 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Hawks | 49c | 332.59$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.62 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Mavericks | 52c | 328.71$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.93 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Hawks | 61c | 327.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Hawks won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Hawks vs. MavericksHawks won
- Hawks vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Mavericks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Hawks (-7.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.