NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Mavericks: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e50583a872336d2fa7f61f40eb3506f47206825bf8ee53d8f05666d938ec55e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,507 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,249.98 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 22,322$10,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,944.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2c…0351backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf124…9b92backed Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 6,689$3,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.38 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 49c | 5,493$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Over | 51c | 4,118$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.65 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 58c | 3,901$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.2 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 3,844$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.41 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24d…aaf7backed Under | 50c | 3,044$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f66cbacked Under | 50c | 3,037$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…d327backed Under | 50c | 3,030$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…ce09backed Over | 50c | 2,998$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…db45backed Over | 50c | 2,995$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988a…9edcbacked Over | 50c | 2,991$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc23…8954backed Under | 50c | 2,979$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0251…b34ebacked Over | 50c | 2,978$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…22efbacked Under | 50c | 2,957$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…3f9cbacked Under | 50c | 2,952$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…cf42backed Under | 50c | 2,948$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db6…e202backed Over | 50c | 2,939$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6849…012dbacked Over | 50c | 2,929$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e1…fc5abacked Over | 50c | 2,928$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…21bbbacked Over | 50c | 2,919$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…9062backed Over | 50c | 2,919$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e4…6213backed Under | 50c | 2,908$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x010d…311cbacked Under | 50c | 2,887$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0499…1406backed Under | 50c | 2,886$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc9…250abacked Over | 50c | 2,878$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bb9fbacked Over | 50c | 2,867$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4401…08fabacked Under | 50c | 2,867$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ce…d4abbacked Over | 50c | 2,864$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb7…ffe0backed Under | 50c | 2,849$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b8…48b5backed Under | 50c | 2,831$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…72aebacked Over | 50c | 2,808$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0a…9d5fbacked Under | 50c | 2,766$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…fb9abacked Under | 50c | 2,759$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x911d…a397backed Under | 50c | 2,756$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…21d4backed Over | 50c | 2,745$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x263b…763dbacked Over | 50c | 2,731$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…f8d2backed Under | 50c | 2,723$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb8…86c2backed Over | 50c | 2,723$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cca…6ee6backed Under | 50c | 2,716$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cda…93b9backed Over | 50c | 2,712$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…6fb5backed Over | 50c | 2,704$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…cfa1backed Under | 50c | 2,699$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…3832backed Over | 50c | 2,692$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd765…a56ebacked Over | 50c | 2,684$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae0…8603backed Over | 50c | 2,673$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4e…03f1backed Over | 50c | 2,665$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…9167backed Under | 50c | 2,665$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb7…e5f0backed Over | 50c | 2,651$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…6d90backed Under | 50c | 2,643$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…b548backed Over | 50c | 2,642$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59fd…ceddbacked Over | 50c | 2,636$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa220…b009backed Under | 50c | 2,624$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…8e99backed Over | 50c | 2,623$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac87…9db4backed Under | 50c | 2,607$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…82fbbacked Under | 50c | 2,604$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb7…3064backed Under | 50c | 2,599$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee3…abb7backed Under | 50c | 2,552$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 2,327$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.91 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 2,312$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.67 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 2,267$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.87 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 51c | 2,015$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.92 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 50c | 1,805$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.5 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 33c | 1,777$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.27 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Over | 51c | 1,737$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.36 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 1,663$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.27 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Over | 51c | 1,544$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.94 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Over | 51c | 1,533$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.33 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Under | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4823…a48bbacked Over | 55c | 1,160$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.69 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 1,140$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.13 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 1,022$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.85 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 53c | 889.13$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.47 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…4ec1backed Over | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 41c | 790.24$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.62 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 789.45$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.89 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 62c | 374.11$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.13 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 364.15$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.08 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 52c | 356.98$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.35 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 46c | 294.89$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.02 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 46c | 264.77$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 52c | 249.25$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.57 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 57c | 218.58$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Over | 52c | 208.02$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.85 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 56c | 165.9$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.77 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Under | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 51c | 120.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Over | 55c | 117$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | +16.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 58c | 106.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 104.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 55c | 103.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Mavericks: O/U 238.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Hawks won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Hawks vs. MavericksHawks won
- Hawks vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Hawks (-7.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.