NBA · resolved market
Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 13.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9381cd8de60c896aaf3bd18090c5338dcfe0e5c0e6ee75d695d806e35892312
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,300 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5302…0a6fbacked Yes | 55c | 1,235$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.25 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 38c | 883$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.29 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab2…94cbbacked No | 45c | 821$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0b…7e3bbacked Yes | 63c | 261$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x181a…efb7backed Yes | 76c | 230$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…41f2backed Yes | 62c | 227$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1267…35d1backed Yes | 76c | 204$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked No | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b27…344cbacked Yes | 62c | 181$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8402…2de1backed No | 24c | 174$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 37c | 174$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.99 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…d38fbacked Yes | 76c | 173$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…14aebacked No | 24c | 153$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x322d…8a90backed Yes | 63c | 152$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…08c2backed No | 24c | 148$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e9…52a8backed No | 24c | 132$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 36c | 52.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…ba97backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes | 56c | 22.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…b1c2backed Yes | 56c | 21.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 13.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Hawks won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Hawks vs. MavericksHawks won
- Hawks vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Mavericks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-7.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.