TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb5b7…7ffa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
381
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT14835.1%52 W · 96 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 148 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,334
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.31
LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,625Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$6,113.1
LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,073.14
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$331
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.5
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$26.38
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,511Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$2,228.83
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,309
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,603Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,602.76
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$502
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$539
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$802Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$2,539.67
LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
First Blood in Game 3?backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$690
Showing 25 of 148 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$648.04
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,280
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$716.71
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,130
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.18
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,851Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,851
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$744.14
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,782Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,782.41
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.5
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$421.02
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,066Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$734.65
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$719.51
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,980Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+164.1%+$4,890.8
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$445.71
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$963Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+136.2%+$1,311.2
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$296.03
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+261.8%+$5,942.96
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$708
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$469
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$334.73
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,513Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$2,937
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT5642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$367
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+177.2%+$265.76
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,465Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,465
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$407
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$291
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$1,106.34
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+129.1%+$1,484.59
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$291
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$595
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$687Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$687
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$587
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,767Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$1,652.84
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$434.03
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$435.63
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$258
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,079Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,647.03
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$297.3
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,618Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,618
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$436.5
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+117.7%+$1,186.65
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$292.06
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$575
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT4535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$190.65
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,000.98
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$857Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$857
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$307
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+525%+$3,150
Spurs vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,770
Spurs vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,752Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,751.59
Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Spread: Knicks (-18.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,320
Hawks vs. Mavericks: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,017.65
Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,600
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$4,074.98
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,305.88
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,960Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,809.23
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,500
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,800
Mavericks vs. Cavaliersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,607Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+174.7%+$2,806.77
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.17
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$3,692.31
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,300
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,280
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,740Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,740
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,697Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$4,249.34
Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,560
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+60.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+100.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,834Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,834
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,348Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$3,627
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,262
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$1,448.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,825Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,825
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,414Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,414.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,800
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.