Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Alter Ego vs TrinitY (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8bb303bf081781e4eac8112f98f21e39f8e2f952b983438d4d9cdf07e2b7b2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TrinitYof Alter Ego, TrinitY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,176 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Alter Ego | 61c | 5,149$3,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,140.77 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed TrinitY | 39c | 4,480$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732.8 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed TrinitY | 38c | 1,555$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.27 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TrinitY | 39c | 812.1$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.93 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Alter Ego | 62c | 800$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…dd64backed TrinitY | 36c | 620$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +117%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1921…a4bdbacked TrinitY | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…51e7backed TrinitY | 36c | 570$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +227.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Alter Ego | 64c | 412.31$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Alter Ego | 61c | 407.1$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Alter Ego | 61c | 399$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.06 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Alter Ego | 61c | 367.36$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked TrinitY | 38c | 333.97$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.93 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Alter Ego | 63c | 321.01$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.24 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…190ebacked Alter Ego | 64c | 320$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +137.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…41d6backed Alter Ego | 65c | 310$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd6…10b2backed Alter Ego | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed TrinitY | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Alter Ego | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed TrinitY | 35c | 290.33$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.53 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635e…7d8dbacked Alter Ego | 64c | 290$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…9ca2backed Alter Ego | 65c | 290$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…3573backed Alter Ego | 64c | 280$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed TrinitY | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed TrinitY | 39c | 247.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.26 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Alter Ego | 61c | 230.81$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.74 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked TrinitY | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf82c…0f6fbacked Alter Ego | 62c | 170.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed TrinitY | 39c | 127.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.13 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked TrinitY | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked TrinitY | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Alter Ego | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed TrinitY | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Alter Ego | 65c | 76.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Alter Ego | 61c | 75.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed TrinitY | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Alter Ego | 59c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Alter Ego | 61c | 44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed TrinitY | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Alter Ego | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed TrinitY | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Alter Ego | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Alter Ego | 38c | 37.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked TrinitY | 62c | 37.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…b9c6backed Alter Ego | 62c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Alter Ego | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked TrinitY | 35c | 30.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed TrinitY | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77eb…7f9bbacked Alter Ego | 48c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed TrinitY | 40c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Alter Ego | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Alter Ego | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Alter Ego | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Alter Ego | 62c | 19.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Alter Ego | 60c | 18.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked TrinitY | 64c | 17.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Alter Ego vs TrinitY (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Group Bthis page
- Valorant: Alter Ego vs TrinitY - Map 2 WinnerTrinitY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.