NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfa5f3d2f8e13cc20552dd0e72bf155aaa3c1ceb026ca482e1aa3b2b77721d67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,842,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,842,147 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 421,627$210,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210,880.16 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a0…9a09backed Over | 51c | 360,000$183,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176,507.89 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Over | 52c | 294,928$152,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142,014.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 49c | 240,198$117,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,585.51 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 229,923$112,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,734.97 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 199,988$98,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,519.59 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 49c | 98,039$48,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,039.1 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 49c | 69,158$33,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,875.78 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 51c | 62,000$31,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,379.97 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 60,032$29,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,519.24 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 49c | 29,869$14,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,550.49 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Under | 52c | 28,118$14,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,621.01 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 25,767$12,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,658.33 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,249.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 51c | 22,000$11,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,219.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 19,999$9,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,724.39 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Under | 50c | 17,899$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under | 49c | 16,327$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 14,560$7,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,114.34 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Over | 51c | 12,433$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,032.86 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc540…f7e5backed Under | 49c | 11,633$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 9,310$4,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,554.56 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 49c | 8,344$4,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,255.44 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 8,139$3,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,988.1 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Over | 50c | 8,040$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Under | 50c | 8,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 8,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 6,922$3,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,392 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 6,800$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Over | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 5,500$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.06 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa875…b230backed Over | 50c | 4,920$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Over | 51c | 4,706$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.88 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…35fdbacked Under | 50c | 4,646$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a75ebacked Under | 50c | 4,453$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7e…f09dbacked Over | 51c | 4,422$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd99…3afbbacked Under | 50c | 4,037$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e7…2f67backed Under | 50c | 4,022$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c75…7a8ebacked Under | 50c | 4,015$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf651…8c5abacked Under | 50c | 3,964$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4823…a48bbacked Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 3,657$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.12 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…a3c6backed Under | 50c | 3,644$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc075…e88ebacked Under | 50c | 3,644$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x573f…04c1backed Under | 50c | 3,601$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…2e45backed Over | 51c | 3,601$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…0ca9backed Over | 49c | 3,516$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.16 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…1153backed Over | 51c | 3,405$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…4806backed Over | 50c | 3,081$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 49c | 3,051$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7595…50ffbacked Under | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…0880backed Under | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…f531backed Over | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…c0f9backed Under | 50c | 2,499$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf43b…ed5bbacked Under | 50c | 2,480$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 49c | 2,474$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.74 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…4fb8backed Over | 50c | 2,433$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…bf55backed Over | 50c | 2,425$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…ff3cbacked Under | 50c | 2,421$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…08f3backed Under | 50c | 2,419$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 2,401$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.19 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f89…3e80backed Over | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…82e1backed Over | 51c | 2,372$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…a166backed Over | 50c | 2,323$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17bc…00bebacked Under | 50c | 2,300$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…d167backed Under | 50c | 2,300$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd163…e667backed Under | 49c | 2,255$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…27a5backed Under | 49c | 2,211$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…d654backed Under | 50c | 2,205$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8caa…4ae7backed Over | 50c | 2,202$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…7340backed Over | 50c | 2,174$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…7214backed Under | 50c | 2,136$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…876abacked Over | 50c | 2,116$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…3590backed Over | 50c | 2,113$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…a45cbacked Over | 50c | 2,111$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…8f6dbacked Over | 50c | 2,110$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab5c…a81cbacked Over | 50c | 2,105$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae0…f863backed Over | 50c | 2,101$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa8…0fb9backed Under | 50c | 2,059$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…315bbacked Over | 50c | 2,015$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c86…55a7backed Over | 50c | 2,006$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 1,991$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.63 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd23…2423backed Under | 50c | 1,982$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…2e10backed Over | 50c | 1,980$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…cf1abacked Under | 50c | 1,973$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c29…9e63backed Over | 50c | 1,966$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Draymond Green: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)Celtics won
- Warriors vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.