NBA · resolved market
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48737cf714dafe5a76d2458844e4f8c13d12d04cb6537a713cea77e5e0eb8ea9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 48c | 516.36$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.56 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…fd65backed Yes | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…4d6ebacked Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 47c | 92.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…82b4backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6420…254abacked Yes | 53c | 47.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…50b7backed Yes | 52c | 38.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…824abacked Yes | 53c | 37.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d5…1c75backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…4f81backed Yes | 53c | 24.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Draymond Green: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)Celtics won
- Warriors vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.