NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bce993eee312731c97d0221f958b73410b234c40e493626d3c9fadb1483366d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $264,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,882 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 53c | 27,579$14,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,867.63 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 47c | 20,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,299.95 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 46c | 12,000$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,520 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 10,434$4,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.49 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 54c | 9,335$5,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,294.19 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 7,247$3,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,341.45 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Over | 52c | 6,646$3,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.14 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 6,605$3,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,209.03 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf5…5cb8backed Under | 47c | 3,920$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9103…b41abacked Under | 47c | 3,805$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…5411backed Under | 48c | 3,610$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6e…972abacked Under | 48c | 3,455$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…acbbbacked Under | 47c | 3,289$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ac…4933backed Under | 48c | 3,268$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…ae3ebacked Under | 48c | 3,244$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 3,217$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…73b8backed Under | 48c | 3,198$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 2,993$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2684…2d87backed Under | 48c | 2,890$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 54c | 2,661$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1db…1598backed Under | 48c | 2,641$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8caa…4ae7backed Over | 52c | 2,535$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x335a…16aabacked Under | 46c | 2,529$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496c…9dbebacked Over | 52c | 2,525$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…27a5backed Over | 54c | 2,515$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f89…3e80backed Under | 48c | 2,515$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd0…4f2bbacked Under | 48c | 2,489$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b3…2938backed Over | 52c | 2,478$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd379…c6f3backed Over | 52c | 2,471$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…876abacked Over | 52c | 2,466$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc24c…82c7backed Over | 52c | 2,453$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…a298backed Over | 52c | 2,450$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfb…837dbacked Over | 52c | 2,423$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d27…c3babacked Over | 52c | 2,421$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd844…4022backed Under | 48c | 2,393$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 47c | 2,383$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd00f…15cabacked Under | 48c | 2,378$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…3482backed Over | 53c | 2,358$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4859…4d38backed Under | 48c | 2,355$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4823…a48bbacked Over | 52c | 2,353$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.69 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…38febacked Over | 53c | 2,344$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…d24abacked Under | 48c | 2,337$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81c…f207backed Under | 48c | 2,332$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd163…e667backed Under | 46c | 2,322$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a0…28f5backed Under | 48c | 2,321$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ec…5a72backed Under | 47c | 2,313$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f7…fe4dbacked Under | 48c | 2,292$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff57…e2ecbacked Over | 52c | 2,280$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…9d9cbacked Over | 52c | 2,266$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x121c…96debacked Over | 54c | 2,254$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd75f…7b4ebacked Over | 52c | 2,253$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fd…5ac9backed Under | 48c | 2,250$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1881…f05dbacked Over | 52c | 2,242$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d4…dbc9backed Over | 52c | 2,241$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a2…adfbbacked Under | 48c | 2,236$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…665fbacked Under | 48c | 2,236$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f3…71f9backed Under | 48c | 2,233$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e1…c064backed Over | 52c | 2,233$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7739…2c15backed Over | 52c | 2,230$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…6e6ebacked Over | 52c | 2,215$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…1420backed Over | 52c | 2,211$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ca…bf39backed Under | 48c | 2,205$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…b14cbacked Over | 52c | 2,200$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…03e4backed Over | 52c | 2,198$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…50e4backed Over | 52c | 2,186$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d4…88e2backed Over | 52c | 2,163$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce4…fcffbacked Over | 52c | 2,155$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197d…833ebacked Over | 52c | 2,155$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…994abacked Under | 48c | 2,149$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fef…38cabacked Over | 52c | 2,136$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c64…5fa0backed Over | 52c | 2,136$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…a166backed Under | 48c | 2,121$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff9…a841backed Over | 53c | 2,121$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…d0aabacked Under | 48c | 2,116$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e71…e1a8backed Under | 48c | 2,109$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5270…d254backed Under | 48c | 2,106$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9536…de0dbacked Over | 52c | 2,070$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…17acbacked Over | 52c | 2,043$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46d…5ef9backed Over | 54c | 2,033$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…5c0bbacked Under | 48c | 2,033$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2a…369ebacked Over | 52c | 2,032$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c86…55a7backed Under | 48c | 2,012$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8e…a4ddbacked Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…d0cfbacked Under | 48c | 1,988$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf038…585dbacked Under | 48c | 1,951$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…e048backed Over | 52c | 1,950$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2497…eb5cbacked Over | 52c | 1,936$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…c9dcbacked Under | 48c | 1,933$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…c452backed Under | 48c | 1,924$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x379e…36ecbacked Under | 48c | 1,922$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5b…525cbacked Under | 47c | 1,922$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5a…02d2backed Over | 52c | 1,919$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…177abacked Over | 52c | 1,919$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bb…de23backed Under | 48c | 1,917$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d29…0f85backed Over | 52c | 1,909$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1495…1448backed Under | 48c | 1,907$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…7570backed Over | 52c | 1,895$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e82…c8febacked Under | 48c | 1,888$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d9…615bbacked Over | 52c | 1,886$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Draymond Green: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)Celtics won
- Warriors vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.