NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98c7cac14e696277c7c164834cf88a02787cc97ebee2a69247ec87d083610737
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,558,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,558,751 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 414 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 50c | 584,542$289,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289,689.67 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Warriors | 50c | 380,000$190,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189,999.77 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics | 50c | 230,000$115,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,000 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Celtics | 51c | 225,000$114,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,499.95 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Celtics | 50c | 127,139$63,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,569.34 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Celtics | 50c | 118,884$59,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,533.12 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Celtics | 51c | 80,000$40,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,199.99 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics | 50c | 74,922$37,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,461.09 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics | 50c | 62,206$31,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,103.96 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Celtics | 52c | 55,122$28,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,538.66 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Warriors | 48c | 47,996$23,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,047.8 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Warriors | 50c | 30,396$15,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,198.22 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Warriors | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,699.93 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Celtics | 50c | 27,091$13,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,532.32 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Celtics | 50c | 20,200$10,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,100 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Warriors | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.96 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Celtics | 51c | 19,500$9,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,554.99 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Celtics | 50c | 11,392$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,691.58 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Celtics | 51c | 11,000$5,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,390 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 51c | 10,077$5,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,890.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Celtics | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Warriors | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Warriors | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Celtics | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.91 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Celtics | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.14 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Warriors | 52c | 5,947$3,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067.18 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Warriors | 50c | 5,842$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.01 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Warriors | 49c | 5,714$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Celtics | 51c | 5,626$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.82 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…eed7backed Warriors | 49c | 5,591$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.55 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb3…d966backed Celtics | 51c | 4,555$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc502…d047backed Celtics | 52c | 4,436$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…f2c4backed Celtics | 52c | 4,426$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Celtics | 51c | 4,300$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee8f…9e48backed Celtics | 52c | 4,258$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443a…775abacked Warriors | 49c | 4,166$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Celtics | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Celtics | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Warriors | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.99 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 49c | 3,764$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 49c | 3,761$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.83 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Warriors | 49c | 3,729$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.21 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87c…56ddbacked Warriors | 49c | 3,322$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…0252backed Warriors | 48c | 3,229$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…ea15backed Celtics | 52c | 3,125$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Warriors | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e41…082bbacked Celtics | 52c | 2,968$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…8b2ebacked Celtics | 51c | 2,933$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…523ebacked Celtics | 51c | 2,795$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa339…c05fbacked Celtics | 52c | 2,660$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce4…fcffbacked Celtics | 51c | 2,588$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…9d9cbacked Warriors | 49c | 2,520$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Celtics | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b9…12e4backed Celtics | 54c | 2,498$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.01 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b134backed Warriors | 46c | 2,498$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.01 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…a6c5backed Warriors | 49c | 2,487$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.61 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…dd36backed Celtics | 51c | 2,466$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197d…833ebacked Warriors | 49c | 2,450$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…4fb8backed Warriors | 48c | 2,406$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…b24bbacked Warriors | 48c | 2,405$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…5447backed Warriors | 49c | 2,388$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…60b7backed Celtics | 51c | 2,332$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…d654backed Warriors | 48c | 2,268$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…3780backed Warriors | 48c | 2,260$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…315bbacked Warriors | 48c | 2,255$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0b…91a5backed Celtics | 52c | 2,244$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…7214backed Warriors | 48c | 2,235$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae0…f863backed Warriors | 48c | 2,219$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Celtics | 52c | 2,202$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.17 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 52c | 2,152$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.65 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…a45cbacked Warriors | 48c | 2,122$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ca…6276backed Celtics | 51c | 2,105$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Celtics | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Warriors | 48c | 2,080$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.34 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b0…41f8backed Celtics | 52c | 2,066$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Celtics | 51c | 2,063$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.75 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Celtics | 52c | 2,045$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.09 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Warriors | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac41…9544backed Celtics | 52c | 2,019$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…bf9cbacked Warriors | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…e888backed Celtics | 52c | 1,975$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb463…5eebbacked Warriors | 48c | 1,968$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Celtics | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Celtics | 51c | 1,960$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.29 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Celtics | 52c | 1,930$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.16 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3943…a8e1backed Warriors | 48c | 1,895$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ad…4a01backed Warriors | 49c | 1,855$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 49c | 1,848$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.16 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…bce0backed Warriors | 48c | 1,825$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Celtics | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Celtics | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…a892backed Warriors | 48c | 1,789$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7303…aa9fbacked Warriors | 49c | 1,758$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d5…ea78backed Celtics | 52c | 1,701$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde54…5715backed Celtics | 52c | 1,701$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…e83fbacked Warriors | 49c | 1,668$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e4…3d92backed Warriors | 49c | 1,626$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f5…f7e1backed Celtics | 52c | 1,602$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Draymond Green: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)Celtics won
- Warriors vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.