NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7ccd587b65c38e2555565c851b907b3bc9aa11584befe755986c15a998f4938
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 13,510$5,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,979.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 45c | 7,817$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,524.61 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2043…4a73backed Under | 45c | 6,986$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c8…ccffbacked Under | 45c | 6,924$3,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,115.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0f…f7b0backed Under | 45c | 6,750$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,037.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x818f…c9a4backed Under | 45c | 6,640$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bf…0353backed Under | 45c | 6,506$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,927.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe949…be35backed Under | 45c | 6,447$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 66c | 6,188$4,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…5c4cbacked Under | 45c | 6,068$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…a0a4backed Under | 45c | 6,054$2,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,724.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c99…8976backed Under | 45c | 5,844$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfffd…519bbacked Under | 45c | 5,834$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b66…225dbacked Under | 45c | 5,774$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x862c…72a1backed Under | 45c | 5,774$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…4540backed Over | 55c | 5,750$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd152…47b4backed Under | 45c | 5,716$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed4d…4533backed Under | 45c | 5,671$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7b…f19fbacked Over | 55c | 5,664$3,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a5…cffdbacked Over | 55c | 5,642$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…9f0fbacked Over | 55c | 5,630$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…3462backed Under | 45c | 5,600$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…f9f9backed Under | 45c | 5,514$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x266f…c48abacked Under | 45c | 5,514$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7a…03f2backed Over | 55c | 5,506$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e6…7b57backed Over | 55c | 5,498$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a9…0921backed Under | 45c | 5,426$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd6…3197backed Over | 55c | 5,418$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc5…5603backed Under | 45c | 5,414$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,436.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 56c | 5,387$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.81 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2121…fb4cbacked Over | 55c | 5,364$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…5386backed Over | 55c | 5,316$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4bdcbacked Over | 55c | 5,304$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…99e1backed Under | 45c | 5,260$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8f…98b1backed Over | 55c | 5,247$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…6b62backed Under | 45c | 5,208$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248f…17adbacked Under | 45c | 5,146$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613f…7426backed Under | 45c | 5,146$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…b447backed Over | 55c | 5,126$2,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf174…2798backed Over | 55c | 5,070$2,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…e5a7backed Under | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b7…14c8backed Over | 55c | 4,960$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1517…c04fbacked Over | 55c | 4,786$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…3fd7backed Over | 55c | 4,750$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…853bbacked Over | 55c | 4,742$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e2…167cbacked Over | 55c | 4,730$2,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee2f…fde6backed Over | 55c | 4,692$2,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe101…5e3cbacked Over | 55c | 4,636$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6833…3e02backed Over | 55c | 4,610$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…095fbacked Over | 55c | 4,554$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb902…cacfbacked Over | 55c | 4,536$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2508…9635backed Over | 55c | 4,502$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5033…df2abacked Over | 55c | 4,318$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46c9…9db7backed Over | 55c | 4,260$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x813c…2207backed Over | 55c | 4,154$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 3,356$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.06 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 2,865$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.87 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 60c | 2,426$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.77 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 55c | 2,244$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.68 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 44c | 2,100$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.97 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Over | 57c | 2,070$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.31 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x779b…48d7backed Over | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5a…02d2backed Over | 55c | 1,919$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 1,713$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.05 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd460…761bbacked Over | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec1…44dcbacked Over | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 55c | 1,468$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.66 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 56c | 1,364$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.29 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 55c | 1,315$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.58 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 1,308$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.36 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Under | 44c | 1,241$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.05 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 56c | 928$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.32 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 45c | 903.99$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.8 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Over | 56c | 885.7$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.51 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 29c | 849.31$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.91 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 57c | 691$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.13 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 45c | 628.05$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.61 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 46c | 600.98$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.45 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 44c | 596.99$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.67 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 46c | 530.5$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.75 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 526.62$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.28 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 55c | 495.01$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.21 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 37c | 490.3$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.43 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x145e…bb39backed Over | 62c | 484.66$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 46c | 465.92$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.65 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 56c | 463.17$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.8 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 452.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.22 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 56c | 451$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.44 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 38c | 354.37$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.92 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…32aabacked Over | 63c | 348$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.46 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 56c | 342.67$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.23 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed Over | 58c | 333$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Over | 53c | 329.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.09 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 34c | 323.57$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.49 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 44c | 318.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 63c | 314.86$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Over | 74c | 300$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 268.64$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Draymond Green: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)Celtics won
- Warriors vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.