NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d87e45b5a462fac0853a9df403084dee3b7839f57d31cb7e4c22bff4ad73811

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $60,463

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,463 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over	48c	24,534$11,776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,758.12	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	52c	19,475$10,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,084.78	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	52c	4,892$2,538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,538.38	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over	49c	3,584$1,756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,827.94	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	51c	3,426$1,753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,752.85	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	48c	3,146$1,507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,639.7	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under	53c	2,445$1,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,296	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under	52c	1,667$867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$866.84	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over	48c	1,613$774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$838.98	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	53c	1,069$564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$505.95	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Under	49c	1,020$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	172	46.5%80 W · 92 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	199	58.3%116 W · 83 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under	55c	545.45$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf1…796ebacked Under	52c	515.5$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.06	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	53c	465.88$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.67	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Under	53c	442.62$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.4	142	55.6%79 W · 63 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over	47c	425.21$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.39	89	52.8%47 W · 42 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	42c	423.86$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.65	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Under	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Over	47c	363.18$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.92	166	58.4%97 W · 69 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	47c	336.84$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.59	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Under	17c	295.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.15	502	41.2%207 W · 295 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over	68c	264.67$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.67	277	45.8%127 W · 150 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	51c	261.11$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.17	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under	54c	240.89$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.04	234	46.2%108 W · 126 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over	70c	228.74$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.74	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	603	46.4%280 W · 323 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	51c	186.05$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.89	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xec54…a03dbacked Under	70c	180.69$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.09	109	57.8%63 W · 46 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under	44c	174.06$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.64	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Under	58c	170.73$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.88	107	64.5%69 W · 38 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	44c	164.9$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.91	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under	53c	156$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.68	428	53%227 W · 201 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over	48c	141.99$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.13	421	53%223 W · 198 L	+23.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a4b…286dbacked Over	59c	138.56$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.86	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed8…6b7fbacked Over	48c	136.89$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.18	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Under	32c	133.09$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.59	194	34.5%67 W · 127 L	-10.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-20%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ca0…68e2backed Under	39c	129.23$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf392…bb0dbacked Over	48c	127.85$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.48	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f1d…32fabacked Over	48c	126.43$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.74	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe285…5754backed Over	48c	124.33$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.65	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xceb4…c08dbacked Under	32c	120$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.9	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Over	66c	119.54$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.28	191	66.5%127 W · 64 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Under	48c	115.01$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	216	37.5%81 W · 135 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88ff…78aebacked Under	54c	105.69$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under	53c	105.45$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.87	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Over	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	181	57.5%104 W · 77 L	+21.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	357	39.8%142 W · 215 L	-25.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked Over	42c	95.29$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.29	59	32.2%19 W · 40 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Under	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	311	51.1%159 W · 152 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	53c	94.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.71	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under	34c	90.45$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.72	655	42.9%281 W · 374 L	+17.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	50c	86.72$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.54	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4378…5bb8backed Under	54c	84.09$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.41	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a9…f98ebacked Over	72c	83.33$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.33	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+18%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	50c	75.25$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.63	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x647c…a772backed Over	49c	71.59$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.59	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d61…26e5backed Under	56c	66.68$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.34	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under	47c	64.28$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.38	156	63.5%99 W · 57 L	+10.9wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under	51c	63.59$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.43	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd732…0fd0backed Under	53c	60$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.8	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over	47c	59.32$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.44	714	49.3%352 W · 362 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over	51c	59$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.91	342	47.7%163 W · 179 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a7f…0ad6backed Over	52c	57.22$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.36	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	602	50.5%304 W · 298 L	+14.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7546…73f0backed Under	58c	42.76$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x145e…bb39backed Over	67c	41$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.69	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over	44c	39.98$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.39	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Under	31c	38.3$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.03	118	26.3%31 W · 87 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd815…1cdebacked Under	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	84	56%47 W · 37 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7178…8fb9backed Under	70c	36.84$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.85	63	60.3%38 W · 25 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb495…7c65backed Over	51c	36.74$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.11	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under	41c	36.59$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Under	52c	33.79$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.74	127	39.4%50 W · 77 L	-9.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	44c	32.15$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xece0…1754backed Under	53c	29.17$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.46	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce4d…ade4backed Over	51c	24.9$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.19	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	48c	24.09$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.63	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under	51c	20.7$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	525	52%273 W · 252 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdef7…4fd2backed Under	59c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2416…8afebacked Under	59c	18.97$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.19	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-3.4wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5this page
1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
1H Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5No won
Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Draymond Green: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)Celtics won
Warriors vs. CelticsCeltics won
Warriors vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
Warriors vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5Over won
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5Over won
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event