NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0585f3df945f24cc90a056ee7e1fd146f8223007b88aaf6af885e1a3cc2bcce7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Warriors, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,761,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,761,690 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x183d…1270backed Warriors | 14c | 400,000$56,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,999.99 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…2afabacked Warriors | 16c | 355,107$56,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,817.18 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Warriors | 16c | 312,499$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,999.91 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Warriors | 15c | 74,204$10,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,925.21 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 15c | 55,631$8,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,169.58 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Warriors | 2c | 55,368$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.52 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e5…7cc0backed Warriors | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 8c | 45,882$3,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,860.18 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Warriors | 13c | 39,000$5,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,209.99 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors | 11c | 34,196$3,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,756.12 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Warriors | 16c | 34,163$5,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,532.78 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 14c | 27,826$3,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,891.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Warriors | 15c | 27,415$4,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,112.31 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Warriors | 3c | 20,541$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.13 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Warriors | 15c | 20,288$3,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.2 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Warriors | 15c | 19,710$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.5 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Warriors | 15c | 19,293$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.9 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Warriors | 16c | 18,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Warriors | 0c | 17,275$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Warriors | 1c | 16,299$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.49 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 10c | 16,204$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…f983backed Warriors | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Warriors | 1c | 15,630$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.84 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 8c | 15,364$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.65 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c51…087cbacked Warriors | 15c | 14,900$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 16c | 14,782$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.59 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Warriors | 15c | 13,881$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.15 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…1366backed Warriors | 17c | 13,861$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.44 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 15c | 13,708$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.15 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…0516backed Warriors | 6c | 13,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Warriors | 13c | 11,446$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.02 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Warriors | 15c | 10,974$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.8 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…b63bbacked Warriors | 15c | 10,300$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Warriors | 0c | 10,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Warriors | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Warriors | 15c | 9,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Warriors | 1c | 8,764$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…757bbacked Warriors | 2c | 7,688$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.35 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05dc…967ebacked Warriors | 7c | 7,552$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.65 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Warriors | 15c | 7,500$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.97 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors | 7c | 7,373$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.44 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Warriors | 0c | 7,310$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…b3aabacked Warriors | 15c | 7,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Warriors | 1c | 6,857$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.61 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors | 0c | 6,793$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 16c | 6,765$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.48 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 12c | 6,536$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Warriors | 15c | 6,450$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.5 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Warriors | 16c | 6,383$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.88 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Warriors | 16c | 6,343$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.84 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Warriors | 15c | 5,530$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.55 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Warriors | 15c | 5,200$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.97 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Warriors | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.98 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Warriors | 16c | 4,956$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Warriors | 15c | 4,934$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.09 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Warriors | 7c | 4,219$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.55 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7062…4e5fbacked Warriors | 15c | 3,900$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Warriors | 15c | 3,765$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.76 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Warriors | 12c | 3,623$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.19 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Warriors | 16c | 3,503$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.46 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…b430backed Warriors | 16c | 3,475$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.88 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Warriors | 15c | 3,461$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e2…e6a9backed Warriors | 16c | 3,456$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed Warriors | 15c | 3,398$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.48 | 323 | 30.7%99 W · 224 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f5…5cfbbacked Warriors | 16c | 3,250$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 164 | 21.3%35 W · 129 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Warriors | 19c | 3,141$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.79 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Warriors | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked Warriors | 15c | 2,819$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.91 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Warriors | 15c | 2,771$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.67 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…fd40backed Warriors | 15c | 2,640$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.94 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Warriors | 8c | 2,617$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 341 | 36.1%123 W · 218 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Warriors | 16c | 2,589$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.24 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Warriors | 11c | 2,426$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.21 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0480…0a91backed Warriors | 15c | 2,340$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Warriors | 8c | 2,315$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.18 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Warriors | 14c | 2,286$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.04 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4282…28e9backed Warriors | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Warriors | 4c | 1,997$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.11 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e39…dfd9backed Warriors | 1c | 1,900$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5065…14babacked Warriors | 6c | 1,889$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…98f8backed Warriors | 9c | 1,845$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Warriors | 15c | 1,843$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.38 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Warriors | 14c | 1,841$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.9 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Warriors | 17c | 1,784$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.25 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Warriors | 14c | 1,780$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.23 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Warriors | 15c | 1,647$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.11 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed Warriors | 18c | 1,583$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…bebabacked Warriors | 16c | 1,576$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Warriors | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf401…863fbacked Warriors | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Warriors | 6c | 1,424$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…8904backed Warriors | 16c | 1,381$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Warriors | 8c | 1,381$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.19 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Warriors | 17c | 1,332$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.99 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5178…01d8backed Warriors | 16c | 1,320$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 291 | 50.2%146 W · 145 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Warriors | 15c | 1,298$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.74 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1deb…472fbacked Warriors | 16c | 1,286$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors | 14c | 1,267$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.29 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Warriors | 10c | 1,259$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.49 | 252 | 26.6%67 W · 185 L | -26.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed Warriors | 17c | 1,242$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.16 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Celticsthis page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Draymond Green: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)Celtics won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.