NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xded2ebe2167bda8674f17d275b4760c580411e35ef4beeec914db67b633d3c88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $681,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $681,301 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Warriors | 54c | 405,000$218,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218,700.19 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics | 46c | 320,000$147,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172,799.85 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Celtics | 47c | 65,028$30,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,764.76 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics | 46c | 42,929$19,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,124.1 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Warriors | 54c | 38,665$20,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,792.63 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Celtics | 46c | 37,939$17,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,460.58 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Celtics | 46c | 31,241$14,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,857.57 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Warriors | 53c | 30,647$16,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,242.89 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Celtics | 47c | 24,306$11,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,882.39 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…1b93backed Warriors | 53c | 16,587$8,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,791.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 52c | 14,934$7,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,776.47 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Warriors | 53c | 9,432$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998.83 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 45c | 9,156$4,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,108 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Celtics | 48c | 7,083$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,683.33 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Warriors | 53c | 6,659$3,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,529.07 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2a…a868backed Warriors | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Warriors | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 53c | 4,374$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.12 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cb…5183backed Warriors | 52c | 4,311$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Celtics | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Celtics | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x708f…eef4backed Warriors | 52c | 3,913$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c2…dc72backed Celtics | 48c | 3,846$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2c…e12bbacked Warriors | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 53c | 3,573$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.47 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Warriors | 53c | 3,366$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.44 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Celtics | 47c | 3,301$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.45 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3afc…3040backed Warriors | 52c | 3,213$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Warriors | 53c | 3,130$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.98 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Warriors | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7afa…6f1dbacked Warriors | 52c | 2,598$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ea…6cc6backed Celtics | 48c | 2,549$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Celtics | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed Celtics | 47c | 2,400$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…3482backed Celtics | 48c | 2,336$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8e…a4ddbacked Warriors | 52c | 2,288$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ec…5a72backed Celtics | 48c | 2,261$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Warriors | 53c | 2,196$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.91 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59bb…0a9dbacked Warriors | 52c | 2,166$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Celtics | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Celtics | 47c | 2,037$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.68 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 54c | 2,030$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.47 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa723…58e1backed Celtics | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf37…0eb2backed Warriors | 52c | 1,990$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf871…8819backed Warriors | 52c | 1,902$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1953backed Celtics | 48c | 1,888$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…38febacked Celtics | 48c | 1,869$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5b…525cbacked Celtics | 48c | 1,833$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff9…a841backed Celtics | 48c | 1,822$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Warriors | 52c | 1,779$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.34 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeef…037cbacked Celtics | 48c | 1,722$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…d744backed Celtics | 48c | 1,701$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Celtics | 47c | 1,681$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.83 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Warriors | 53c | 1,585$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.05 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x963e…6282backed Celtics | 48c | 1,568$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8828…e192backed Celtics | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…48c7backed Celtics | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…2f30backed Celtics | 48c | 1,422$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…714dbacked Celtics | 48c | 1,405$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Warriors | 53c | 1,368$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.26 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Celtics | 50c | 1,297$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.34 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 46c | 1,250$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.24 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Warriors | 54c | 1,176$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.18 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Warriors | 54c | 1,061$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.08 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Celtics | 48c | 1,030$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.6 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 41c | 1,028$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.62 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Celtics | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Celtics | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Celtics | 47c | 936$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.08 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Warriors | 52c | 925.89$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.51 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…a88dbacked Celtics | 48c | 896$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.92 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Celtics | 48c | 871.45$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.34 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Celtics | 52c | 822.67$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.88 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Warriors | 52c | 732.23$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.16 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…8acebacked Warriors | 52c | 713.46$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtics | 66c | 711.98$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.6 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Celtics | 48c | 611.22$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.65 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Warriors | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Celtics | 49c | 593.32$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Celtics | 47c | 590.33$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.88 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Celtics | 48c | 585.32$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.6 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Celtics | 47c | 579.15$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.53 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Warriors | 53c | 570$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.1 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Warriors | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Celtics | 48c | 564.94$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.13 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Celtics | 47c | 544.68$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.68 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeac…39b9backed Warriors | 54c | 540.74$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Warriors | 53c | 483.09$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.04 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…81f7backed Warriors | 54c | 482.33$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.46 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Warriors | 54c | 460$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Celtics | 47c | 453.94$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.59 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6c…409ebacked Celtics | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Warriors | 54c | 421.17$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.43 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Celtics | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Celtics | 49c | 390.5$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.47 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Celtics | 48c | 390$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.57 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Warriors | 44c | 386.92$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.64 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Celtics | 48c | 370.89$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.19 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…0a1dbacked Warriors | 53c | 350$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…a3cebacked Warriors | 54c | 333.33$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Draymond Green: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Celtics won
- Warriors vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.