TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x973b…a912

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
174
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT5947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pelicans (-10.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.29
Spread: Raptors (-8.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+110%+$233.18
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$300
Thunder vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$673.96
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$325.5
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$527.5
Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$549
Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$551.82
Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.64
Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$509.85
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$555.85
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$499.8
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$496.08
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$527.85
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$138.46
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$424.8
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$405
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$473.63
Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$457.08
Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.08
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$109.83
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 154.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$142.86
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$975.4
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$991.61
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)backed Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.05
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$223.03
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,488.07
Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-1.5)backed Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$586.85
Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$629.4
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-25.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$571.43
Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5)backed BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.03
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-2.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$467.74
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-16.5)backed North Dakota State Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.69
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$285.71
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-4.5)backed South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$343.13
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-12.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$892Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$760
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-13.5)backed Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.69
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$634.31
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-2.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$205.88
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$663.24
UIC Flames vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$503.64
Murray State Racers vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$244.8
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.87
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$966Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$966.23
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$371.72
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,170
Capitals vs. Bluesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$276
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+118.2%+$289.57
Lightning vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$469
Ducks vs. Utahbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$695.44
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Blues vs. Flames: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$517.81
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$376
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$509.95
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$614
Bruins vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$527.93
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$504
Penguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$455
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$367.08
Utah vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Flames vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.05
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$251.75
Ducks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.87
Sharks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$248.4
Kings vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$236.4
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$84.43
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+171%+$78.66
Islanders vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.75
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$336.72
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$871Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$448.8
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$866Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$865.52
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$986Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$395.81
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,034Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$905.88
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$224.46
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$690
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$524.86
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$784Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$784.04
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+66.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+33.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick23cpaid-17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+74%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$243.31
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$309.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.4
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$314.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$254.99
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-35.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$220.13
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.