La Liga · resolved market
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01c4867a4412e2d65c6464c41979932daefd6738cde9c2190bfc45499e62a2e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,670,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,670,602 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 752 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefbc…f9a2backed No | 47c | 3,793,476$1,783,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010,449.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Yes | 54c | 2,085,355$1,124,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124,277.7 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 54c | 359,371$192,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192,843.93 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 52c | 340,483$176,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176,855.29 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 32c | 252,120$81,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,449.41 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 46c | 229,606$105,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,987.26 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 43c | 154,875$66,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,278.65 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 51c | 150,000$76,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,500 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 43c | 123,049$52,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,137.84 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 46c | 100,000$46,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,000 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 92,200$45,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,292.71 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes | 56c | 89,998$50,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,798.96 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 54c | 87,064$47,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,202.47 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 39c | 86,736$33,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,411.61 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 53c | 84,880$44,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,664.97 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Yes | 51c | 64,031$32,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,655.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 53c | 53,389$28,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,064.41 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 56c | 37,243$20,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,789.09 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 36,725$27,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,098.01 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed No | 43c | 36,285$15,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,649.92 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 52c | 33,079$17,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,221.29 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Yes | 53c | 29,909$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Yes | 51c | 21,704$11,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,169.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Yes | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 52c | 18,777$9,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,748.81 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes | 57c | 17,543$9,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.49 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 56c | 17,182$9,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,621.92 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 15,944$10,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,573.4 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 44c | 15,943$7,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,014.92 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 57c | 14,296$8,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,148.72 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 56c | 13,000$7,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,339.97 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…f534backed Yes | 0c | 12,866$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Yes | 53c | 12,139$6,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,433.71 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 57c | 12,000$6,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,839.95 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…5f4bbacked No | 46c | 10,795$4,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,829.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,291$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +450.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Yes | 48c | 10,014$4,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,763.37 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 57c | 10,000$5,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,680 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 52cpaid | -75%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Yes | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked No | 50c | 8,574$4,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,312.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 7,817$6,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.6 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed No | 46c | 7,613$3,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,126.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed No | 43c | 7,263$3,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,139.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 54c | 7,200$3,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,852 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Yes | 56c | 7,177$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 44c | 6,829$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,986.38 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked No | 65c | 6,193$4,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.4 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes | 56c | 6,000$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Yes | 56c | 6,000$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…b277backed Yes | 52c | 5,954$3,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,096.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 80c | 5,800$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed No | 43c | 5,279$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.07 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 42c | 5,278$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061.03 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Yes | 56c | 5,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Yes | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 54c | 4,849$2,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.33 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Yes | 52c | 4,643$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.47 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes | 53c | 4,513$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 54c | 4,400$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.98 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…5738backed Yes | 8c | 4,270$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc1…2104backed Yes | 5c | 4,139$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 43c | 3,681$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.89 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 18c | 3,652$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Yes | 52c | 3,589$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Yes | 2c | 3,434$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…2d80backed Yes | 57c | 3,400$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 56c | 3,333$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.48 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 54c | 3,150$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.5 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 54c | 3,053$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.12 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 54c | 2,893$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 76c | 2,800$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.95 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 2,700$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.74 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 54c | 2,631$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.96 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 58c | 2,347$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.28 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 52c | 2,152$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.82 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 57c | 2,114$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.97 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Yes | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 51c | 2,059$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.82 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 10c | 1,980$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 51c | 1,951$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.8 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 68c | 1,947$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.52 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +72%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 45c | 1,921$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.27 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 58c | 1,908$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.4 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…812bbacked Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 58c | 1,810$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.8 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…def4backed Yes | 58c | 1,729$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 58c | 1,727$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 18c | 1,723$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.05 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +14.3wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce7…e812backed No | 42c | 1,720$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes | 18c | 1,683$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 43c | 1,534$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.9 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a0…fb5bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,526$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?this page
- Will Levante UD win on 2026-03-16?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.