TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc22…5738

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,414Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,414.49
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$204.08
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$272.6
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.8
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.59
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+154.7%+$443.98
Counter-Strike: Omega vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$211.18
Counter-Strike: Omega vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagebacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.42
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.07
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.27
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$31.93
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffsbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.94
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$649Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+78.2%+$507.17
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+131.6%+$37.33
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.94
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$116.86
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$164.36
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$160.18
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-57.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.53
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.9
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$168.96
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.67
Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$618.75
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,065.78
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.45
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$251.71
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$943Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$942.67
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$902Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$901.68
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+62.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.49
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.25
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.59
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.24
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.84
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.13
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.15
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$191.23
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+1,273.8%+$4,599.35
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+316.8%+$618.56
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-75.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.81
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.4
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.5
Long Beach State Beach vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Long Beach State Beach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$165.29
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. James Madison Dukesbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,142.43
All 5 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+41.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Senators (-1.5)backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$325
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$635.63
Predators vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$38.04
Predators vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$66.8
All 4 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.79
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$66.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Anyang vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.79
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20I Series New Zealand vs South Africa, Women: New Zealand vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$47.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$190.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Nürnberg vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$336.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.