Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Anyang vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01420a5558e1ad37ea55636da0bfe84f8001bde4b2b3dbd4f3a4f06a8d1b458f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,699 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 875.37$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.21 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 53c | 695.15$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.02 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 57c | 692.89$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.72 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked No | 25c | 398.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.8 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Yes | 65c | 366.26$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 69c | 290.42$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.22 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…ab57backed Yes | 76c | 243.37$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.31 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked Yes | 44c | 226.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 29c | 187.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 32c | 176.83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.39 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…5738backed Yes | 30c | 166.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 31c | 154.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Yes | 33c | 153.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked No | 23c | 144.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 40c | 136$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 41c | 128.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 71c | 118.9$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a8…4575backed Yes | 37c | 108.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 58c | 107.69$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 23c | 102$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 50c | 92.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 88.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 56c | 87.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 71c | 67.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked No | 48c | 63.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 30c | 61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 56c | 57.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…b02fbacked No | 60c | 54.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 48c | 50.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 36c | 43.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 42.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…e6babacked No | 70c | 42.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 60c | 38.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed Yes | 33c | 38.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 47c | 36.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634e…f16cbacked No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 48c | 25.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…840bbacked No | 71c | 25.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 54c | 23.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 23.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 53c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Anyang vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Anyang win on 2026-03-08?Yes won
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.