Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97b3360c8e172aaeb5191287f6449f923232e24681edc5a0dde48642df3fcd2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,952 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 40c | 3,333$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.77 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 2,987$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.35 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 2,414$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.73 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 2,206$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.64 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 43c | 1,919$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.75 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Yes | 41c | 1,904$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 1,882$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.59 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 43c | 1,743$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.96 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 37c | 1,336$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…ab57backed Yes | 73c | 1,126$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.1 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…695abacked Yes | 35c | 894.94$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +187.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…8526backed No | 59c | 847.87$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 40c | 739$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.08 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 32c | 736.93$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.24 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 25c | 734.09$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.94 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 40c | 701$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.73 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 40c | 700.2$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.12 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 59c | 675$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.4 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 67c | 606.76$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.19 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 43c | 590.31$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.51 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Yes | 43c | 578.58$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc4…a54cbacked Yes | 37c | 401.81$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 63c | 401.08$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.85 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed No | 17c | 371.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 16cpaid | +200%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Yes | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 38c | 348.49$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.54 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 63c | 345.77$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.54 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes | 34c | 317.01$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.51 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Yes | 48c | 286.97$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.23 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 40c | 278.85$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.42 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 63c | 253.1$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.71 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked Yes | 43c | 234.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf9…9372backed Yes | 36c | 233.33$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 66c | 232.67$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.49 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked No | 61c | 231.33$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.11 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 69c | 225.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 64c | 220.79$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Yes | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 32c | 201$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.85 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…6768backed No | 78c | 189.17$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 49c | 173.17$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…5738backed No | 58c | 155.39$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 58c | 149.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 34c | 147.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.62 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 34c | 146$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.73 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 63c | 140.88$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.29 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed No | 67c | 136.47$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.43 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed No | 58c | 109.32$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 47c | 102.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 46c | 101$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 32c | 93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Yes | 39c | 89.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes | 42c | 85.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 49c | 73.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 30c | 65.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…4f2dbacked Yes | 31c | 63.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 73c | 59.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 34c | 59.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed No | 18c | 57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 19c | 55.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 73c | 55.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 77c | 48.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 65c | 41.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 34c | 41.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 60c | 40.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 59c | 39.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 61c | 38.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0630…9368backed Yes | 32c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 64c | 32.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc7…3778backed Yes | 43c | 31.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c4…f726backed No | 62c | 29.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6229…1743backed No | 47c | 26.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed No | 68c | 22.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 58c | 20.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Anyang win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will FC Anyang vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.